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Daily Fantasy Baseball DFS Value Update and Lineup – April 13

Michael Clifford breaks down every MLB game to identify the best daily fantasy value plays.

Wil Myers
Wil Myers

Tampa Bay Rays right fielder Wil Myers. Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

When determining which way to go with my daily lineups, there are a couple of things that I look at before even both deciding which players to roll with in my lineups.

First things first, I always check the Vegas odds, specifically the over/under. One thing to keep in mind is that Vegas line are made with the intention of getting the public to bet both sides. An over/under of 8.5 is meant to entice as many people who think there will be 7 or 8 total runs as opposed to 9 or 10. With that said, the higher the over/under, the better the chances of a successful DFS lineup selection. It’s a fairly basic concept, but failing to employ it is a quick way to deplete bankrolls.

Secondly, the probable pitchers and the ballparks are factors in every decision that is made. It’s obvious that playing Troy Tulowitzki in AT&T Park against Madison Bumgarner isn’t an ideal situation. It’s not a linear process though. It’s not a mindset of “never start players facing Pitcher A, B or C.” Clayton Kershaw’s career ERA at Coors Field is over 5.00; same goes for Justin Verlander’s ERA at Yankee Stadium over the last four years. This provides a value opportunity because some DFS players might shy away from big name pitchers.

With all this said, here my value plays for Draftstreet as well as which pitchers are favourable for today. There will be a lineup at the end of the article. As is always the case, be sure to check BaseballPress.com for up-to-the-minute lineup information and always double-check the weather.

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These lineups are made with 50/50 and heads-up games in mind.

Tampa Bay Rays (Ramos) at Cincinnati Reds (Cingrani)

Cesar Ramos (LHP) will be making his fourth career start and even as mostly a reliever, he hasn’t put up very good numbers (career 3.96 ERA/1.35 WHIP). For his career, righties have hit much better off of him and I’ll just avoid him altogether today. I don’t know how many Rays I want in the lineup against Cingrani, either.

Wil Myers (OF) – $4169

Cingrani has looked a little not-sharp at times this year but for most of it he has been his normal self. I’m not sure how excited I am to start him today given his price, but it’s not a terrible spot for him. I’d rather focus on a couple of their righties.

Todd Frazier (3B) – $6000

Brandon Phillips (2B) – $5451

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