The moves throughout the first three quarters of the season are complete. Now, it’s starting to get late.
For the second consecutive week, as we expected, underdogs edged the favorites. With a 10-5 performance against the spread in Week 12, underdogs are now a combined 18-11 over the past two weeks, a perfect executed recovery from the trend that was pushing towards favorites leading into Week 11.
Now, it goes back.
The perfectly timed underdog explosion should now be completed with the success they’ve had over the last two weeks, but the two biggest reasons to now lean on favorites in Week 13 are the full slate of games — first time since Week 3 — and the official start of the home stretch of the season. Teams like the Jets and Raiders may have caught the Steelers and Chiefs asleep in past weeks, but now is the time when truly good teams make their moves.
Below are predictions for each game against the spread. Spreads have been taken from various websites and are subject to change. The spread in parenthesis denotes the selected team and an asterisk denotes one of the week’s most confident picks.
*Confidence Picks: 4-3 (Season: 40-32)
All Picks Against Spread: 8-7 (Season: 99-76-1)