Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams (+6.5)
In every way, the Rams have done nothing to deserve the respect of being the pick in this game, but the Seahawks giving less than a touchdown worth of points appears to be one of the ‘obvious’ games of the week. The more obvious it seems, the more cause for concern.
St. Louis is 2-2 against the spread as an underdog, despite their overall record of 1-4, and the one time Seattle covered as a favorite on the road came via a meaningless field goal in Washington. Also consider that the same 10-point victory against the Redskins was their biggest win since Week 1 against the Packers. The other three games have been decided by nine points or less, and Seattle has only won one, by six.
The Rams look lost at the end of games, incapable of actually mounting any semblance of a comeback once they fall behind, but they have found ways to play closer games than expected. The same should happen on Sunday, as the Seahawks win by four, but St. Louis beats the spread.