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NFL Week 7 Picks

Mario Mergola battles the spread as he breaks down his pick for every Week 7 game in the NFL.

Tom Brady

Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers (-4)

It is actually a little surprising that the Chargers are only giving four points in this contest, but it is likely a product of their struggle to put away the Raiders until the final minutes of their Week 6 matchup and Andy Reid‘s absurd 13-2 record following his team’s bye week. Neither, however, should be indicative of this meeting, as the Chargers were due for a letdown in Oakland while Reid’s only two losses following a bye were the last two in which he coached.

The Chargers are making a strong case to be one of the league’s best teams, and in a division that also features the powerful Broncos, San Diego needs to remain hot against the Chiefs. The Chargers also managed a rare season-sweep against the Chiefs last year, despite Kansas City’s impressive 11-5 overall record.

As noted many times, San Diego’s only loss this season was by one point, and their average margin of victory is now just over fourteen points. With a top-5 ranking in both points scored and points allowed, the Chargers appear to be every bit as good as their gaudy 5-1 record.

Sunday’s game will make it 6-1. San Diego beats Kansas City by ten and covers the spread.

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