nfl picks against the spread

There is no better place to start this column than by giving thanks. Thanks to you readers for the opportunity to write about my football picks. Thanks for positive results. And thanks for the gift that is football and how it helps us all form this bond. Seriously. Because you could not have watched last […]

Much better. I wrote about it. I talked about it. And now we can see the results of it. After a horribly losing week, the only way to proceed is to continue along the same path as if nothing happened. Because it is the small weekly wins that will outweigh the losses, even if the

Well, that was ugly. What are the odds, too? Right after I led last week’s article with praising the league and how consistently profitable it had been, we go out and deliver one of the worst weeks on record. It’s almost too coincidental. Because it is too coincidental. I write about the popular teams almost

We have to be thoroughly pleased with what we’ve seen from the National Football League, this year. There have been excellent matchups that have not disappointed – think New England and Kansas City in Primetime a few weeks ago and the Packers and Rams, last week – and drama in the storylines – such as

Can you believe it? We are almost halfway through the 2018 NFL season. Halfway through one of the most fun years we have had. Halfway through another season in which this column would rank in the top-three of experts against-the-spread at NFLPickwatch. And halfway through a season in which we just had our first losing

Over the past few weeks, we have been looking for direction. Either the underdogs to keep winning or the reversal to occur. It hasn’t happened, but we have been careful to remain profitable through the uncertainty. Part of this comes from recognizing ‘traps,’ while the other part is scaling back how aggressive we can be.

My goal is to prove myself wrong. I’ve now said it in multiple conversations, and I write it every so often when it applies. When I can find a way to convince myself that my own pick is going to lose, I can put myself – and my readers – in a position to win.

The 2018 NFL season continues to deliver. And it’s not because of the recent stretch of wins. I will often write about the “current wave” of a given season, where underdogs or favorites might be in the middle of a hot streak. We are always careful to not ride these waves for too long, as