Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (+1.5)
When these teams met in Week 2, there appeared to be no conceivable way that the Chiefs could beat the Broncos in Denver, yet we bought in and expected the upset that never came. Now, nearly a dozen weeks later, a Chiefs home victory on Sunday Night Football is every bit a real possibility.
Kansas City clearly got caught napping in Oakland last week; an unacceptable, yet explainable loss. The trap into which the Chiefs fell will help them come out more desperate and prepared for the battle that will ensue on Sunday night.
The Chiefs continue to follow the same formula that led them to success last season – a stout defense and an offense that protects the football. As long as Kansas City can keep the Broncos from exploding – the league’s fifth-best offense has had two games at or under 21 points in its last four, and only tallied 24 points against the Chiefs in Week 2 – Kansas City will be able to complete the upset it missed earlier.
The Chiefs, at home in one of the loudest and most advantageous home fields, win by a field goal and beat the spread.
