Kansas City Chiefs (+4.5) at Miami Dolphins
Let’s call this the first of what should be many make-or-break weeks for the Miami Dolphins. Falling to 1-2 in the suddenly deep — at least, at the moment — AFC East would be suicide. Kansas City is obviously beatable — as evident by their 0-2 record — and will not be able to match the intensity with which they attacked Denver in their division game one week ago.
While Kansas City’s 0-2 start all but eliminates their playoff hopes in the AFC West, they will take Miami to the end, beating the spread, but losing to a better Dolphins team by a field goal.