Connect with us

Fantasy Baseball

Daily Fantasy Baseball DFS Value Update and Lineup – May 13

Michael Clifford breaks down every game to find the most favorable daily fantasy baseball matchups and matchups to avoid.

Adam Jones
Adam Jones

Joy R. Absalon-USA TODAY Sports

When determining which way to go with my daily lineups, there are a couple of things that I look at before even both deciding which players to roll with.

First thing’s first, I always check the Vegas odds, specifically the over/under. One thing to keep in mind is that Vegas lines are made with the intention of getting the public to bet both sides. An over/under of 8.5 is meant to entice as many people who think there will be 7 or 8 total runs as opposed to 9 or 10. With that said, the higher the over/under, the better the chances of a successful DFS lineup selection. It’s a fairly basic concept, but failing to employ it is a quick way to deplete bankrolls.

Secondly, the probable pitchers and the ballparks are factors in every decision that is made. It’s obvious that playing Troy Tulowitzki in AT&T Park against Madison Bumgarner isn’t an ideal situation. It’s not a linear process though. It’s not a mindset of “never start players facing Pitcher A, B or C.” Clayton Kershaw’s career ERA at Coors Field is over 5.00; same goes for Justin Verlander’s ERA at Yankee Stadium over the last four years. This provides a value opportunity because some DFS players might shy away from big name pitchers.

With all this said, here my value plays for Draftstreet as well as which pitchers are favorable for today. There will be a lineup at the end of the article. As is always the case, be sure to check BaseballPress.com for up-to-the-minute lineup information and always double-check the weather.

*** First time DFS player? Click here for our free first-time $500 Freeroll!***

These lineups are made with double-ups in mind.

Detroit Tigers (Smyly) at Baltimore Orioles (Jimenez)

Drew Smyly doesn’t have a bad price today but I think I’d rather avoid him going to Camden Yards at his price. With the way that Ubaldo has been pitching over his last couple of starts, I’m not targeting very many Detroit hitters either.

Ubaldo has a lower price than Smyly today and he’s pitched very well over his last couple of starts. He’s still a pretty big gamble against Detroit, though, so I think he’s a better GPP pitcher than a cash game pitcher today. There’s one Baltimore hitter that’s destroyed lefties so far this year, too.

Adam Jones (OF) – $7255

Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Click to comment

More in Fantasy Baseball