NFL Week 15 Picks: An Upset Brewing In Indy?

Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills (+5.5)*

Don’t let Buffalo’s 14-point fourth quarter in Denver fool you. The Bills were largely over-matched and outplayed by the Broncos for three full quarters on Sunday. Had Denver needed to extend its lead, it is hard to imagine it would have been met with any resistance.

What makes anyone confident that the Bills will have any more success against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers, a quarterback and team arguably hotter than the one Buffalo just faced?

Quite frankly, that. Exactly.

In Green Bay’s current five-game winning streak, the Packers have eclipsed the 40-point barrier three times. The team’s offense now ranks at the top of the list for scoring and fewest turnovers, and the Packers look like a thoroughly unstoppable team. In addition to the streak, Green Bay has also won nine of its last ten games, and just enjoyed four of its last five games in the confines of Lambeau Field.

The Packers also happen to be a pedestrian 3-3 on the road this season, with only one win by a margin of victory greater than a field goal. Traveling has, indeed, caused the Packers to look human — at least, human enough — and Buffalo, featuring a top-five defense and a home field advantage to the tune of only two losses by five or more points, returns home for the team’s final game in Ralph Wilson Stadium this year.

Green Bay edges the Bills by a field goal in the end, but Buffalo beats the spread.

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