23. Kansas City Chiefs (Last week: 18)
The Chiefs look like a team primed for a decline in 2014. Smith looks lost on offense with only Jamaal Charles to lean on. Already without Derrick Johnson and Mike DeVito, this defense will struggle, especially against its divisional foes.
What to know: Smith threw three picks against Tennessee. It took him four games to throw two picks last year. It was only his second three-pick day in the last five years.