What a week! We saw a ton of 1 point games and comeback victories all wrapped up in some fantasy goodness! I hope you had as great a week 1 as I did. I faded Dak Prescott in all formats and said he would score less than 10 fantasy points on FanVice Live and almost nailed it when he put up a mere 10.28 fantasy points. *humble brag* Don’t forget, this is only week 1, nothing is written in stone, so don’t weigh the outcomes of one week too heavily. One thing we can use as a good measure for future prediction is the usage of players in week 1, but that will also change with some individuals throughout the season. Let’s get right back into it and make some more cash money dolla dolla bills yall.
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Cash Game Plays
($8,300/$7,200)Derek Carr vs ATL | -5.5 OAK, 49.5
This is the second week in a row the Raiders are projected to be in a shootout. With the high total of 49.5 and only a 5.5 spread favoring Oakland vs a horrible Falcon secondary, you can bet Carr will be putting points on the board. I like the chances of the Falcons scoring a bunch of TDs as well vs an overrated Raider’s defensive unit which will keep Carr slinging the ball.
($7,800/$6,800)CJ Anderson vs IND | -6 DEN, 45.5
We saw in the first game of the season that CJA will be used heavily. He dipped and danced to the tune of 20 carries 4 catches for 139 yards and two touchdowns. This was vs the talented defensive front of the Panthers. Now he faces the Colts unimproved Swiss cheese defense. The Denver coaching staff has shown that they will be hiding Trevor Siemien and using Anderson in volume and he is sure to capitalize in this spot.
($7,600/$7,100)Deangelo Williams vs CIN | -3.5 PIT, 48.5
Without Vontaze Burfict, who is suspended until week 4, the Bengals run stopping group is much weaker. This was displayed as the Jets rushed for 152 yards last week. Deangelo Williams showed his workhorse usage per usual in Le’Veon Bell’s void with 32 total touches, 169 yards, and two touchdowns, as one of the top scoring RBs on the week vs the Redskins.
($8,900/$8,900)AJ Green @ PIT | -3.5 PIT, 48.5
With Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu gone, we expected AJ Green to be the focus of the Bengal passing attack. Our suspicions were confirmed this past Sunday where he received 13 targets, and reeled in 12 for 180 yards and a tiddy(TD). Now Green faces one of the best wide receiver match ups vs a Steeler’s secondary that allowed the 5th most pass yards per game last season.
($5,900/$4,300)Jason Witten @ WSH | -2.5 WSH, 45
Dak Prescott loves the veteran tight end, shown by targeting him 14 times last week good for the most targets of any TE on the week. While the match up with the Giants defense may funnel to the middle of the field, Dak is looking for him early and often and he is very affordable on both major sites. The Redskins had a middling defense in allowing Fpts to TEs last year. He is an especially strong play in PPR formats.
GPP Plays
($6,000/$5,000)Josh McCown vs BAL | -6.5 BAL , 42.5
McCown is $5k on DK and vs a bad defense. I’m not buying that this Ravens unit is some 85 Bears comp after allowing 160 total yards last week. I think it speaks more to the ineptness of the Buffalo offense on that day. With recency bias, I don’t think anyone will be targeting the Baltimore defense, or certainly not enough. McCown was a good QB last year averaging 21.2 fantasy points per game last year in his starts. Playing McCown at the bare minimum price tag on DK and near min on FD allows you to do so much with your other positions.
($7,700/$7,200)Lamar Miller vs KC | -2 HOU, 43.5
The usage that Miller had last week was insane. He had 28 rushes and 4 receptions, which was the most touches in a game in his career. It’s hard to find any player in fantasy with that heavy a workload and I can over look the mid level match up for the potential. The name value of the Chiefs defense should keep Miller’s ownership low.
($9,400/$9,500)Odell Beckham Jr. vs NO | -5 NYG, 53
The Saint’s top corner Delvin Breaux broke his leg, weakening the already decrepit secondary there. Breaux also looks like an optometrist in his Rotoworld picture. Look for Beckham to bounce back in this week’s match up while being likely under owned due to only catching 4 of 8 targets for a mere 73 yards last week. A pairing with Eli Manning makes a great stack in the premier shootout of the week.
($6,000/$4,000)Gary Barnidge vs BAL | -6.5 BAL, 42.5
Barnidge was an excellent fantasy asset last season, but this was all while Josh McCown was under center. This chart from the RotoViz splits app shows this below.
As you can see, Barnidge averaged 62.43% more PPR points with McCown than other QBs. Now that RG3 is injured and McCown will be manning the helm, once again we can target Barnidge. A lot of people were burned by him last week possibly leaving him under owned.
Lines from Westgate as of 9.13.16
Featured Image Credit: Jeffrey Beall (Own work) [CC BY 3.0], via Wikimedia Commons
