Daily Fantasy Hockey DFS Value Update – May 1

I will mention that I generally do not pick two players playing against each other in the same game for a daily lineup. The same applies for a goalie and a player from opposite teams. You might see two players among the “value picks” from opposite teams, but that doesn’t mean you should take them both. No matter the value, you’re also likely cannibalizing points, so any gains made below a certain price point – the point where production and cost intersect – can be lost if production declines overall as well.

There are many things that determine value: The player’s history (both short and long-term), the price, recent production, opponent, line matching at even-strength, power play time and injuries are just some of the factors to consider. The “Top Value” doesn’t necessarily mean the cheapest player, either.

Finally, as far as goalies go, it’s the one position I’ll pay through the nose for if I really like the match-up. The same applies for back-ups with good match-ups. In a given night, with a full slate of games, I won’t have more than three different goalies across all my lineups, usually two. I’ll name the goalies I like specifically in the match-ups they appear in.

*** First-time Draftstreet users can take part in this $500 FREEroll. Just click this link.***

Here is today’s slate of games (and DraftStreet values). Reminder: check Left Wing Lock for up-to-the-minute information on starting goalies.

Games are color-coded as follows:

Green means stack for GPPs. Yellow means targets for cash games. Red means value plays only.

I’m going to go against my own advice today and play a game that spans over two days. There’s a good idea of the high-end players that will start tomorrow. Also, the Habs and Bruins have been off long enough that there shouldn’t be unknown injuries popping up. I will say that my volume is going to be cut down significantly, though.

Montreal Canadiens at Boston Bruins

The best rivalry in hockey gets going again as Montreal visits Boston tonight for the only game on tonight’s slate.

While the Bruins are certainly the best team in the East, there wasn’t a whole lot that separated the two teams when the played each other this year. The possession rate for the Bruins against Montreal this year (at 5-on-5) was 52.6-percent. That’s an edge but it’s by no means lopsided (especially for a small sample size like four games). The Habs did win three of four games from Boston this year and Carey Price looks as sharp as ever.

There was only 15 goals scored in the four games these two teams played and they combined to go 3-for-30 on the power play over those four games. Without an expectation of a lot of goals, the targets should be the goaltenders and the depth skaters in this one. Which goaltender to go with is a toss-up so I’ll give the edge to the home team tonight.

Michael Clifford

Michael Clifford was born and raised in Fredericton, New Brunswick, Canada and is a graduate of the Unviersity of New Brunswick. He writes about fantasy hockey and baseball for XNSports and FantasyTrade411.com. He can be reached on Twitter @SlimCliffy for any fantasy hockey questions. Follow @SlimCliffy !function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=/^http:/.test(d.location)?'http':'https';if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+'://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js';fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document, 'script', 'twitter-wjs');

See Full Bio