Daily Fantasy Hockey DFS Value Update – March 25

I generally do not pick two players playing against each other in the same game for a daily fantasy hockey lineup. The same applies for a goalie and a player from opposite teams. You might see two players among the “value picks” from opposite teams, but that doesn’t mean you should take them both. No matter the value, you’re also likely cannibalizing points, so any gains made below a certain price point – the point where production and cost intersect – can be lost if production declines overall as well.

There are many things that determine value: The player’s history (both short and long-term), the price, recent production, opponent, line matching at even-strength, power play time and injuries are just some of the factors to consider. The “Top Value” doesn’t necessarily mean the cheapest player, either.

Finally, as far as goalies go, it’s the one position I’ll pay through the nose for if I really like the match-up. The same applies for back-ups with good match-ups. In a given night, with a full slate of games, I won’t have more than three different goalies across all my lineups, usually two. I’ll name the goalies I like specifically in the match-ups they appear in.

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Here is today’s slate of games (and DraftStreet values). Reminder: check Left Wing Lock for up-to-the-minute information on starting goalies.

Games are color-coded as follows:

Green means stack for GPPs. Yellow means targets for cash games. Red means value plays only.

St. Louis Blues at Toronto Maple Leafs

This is the last game of the Blues’ four-game road trip and they are just 1-2-0 so far. Even worse than that is that the team has scored just two goals in those three games (shooting 2.4-percent along the way). The team has gone goalless on the power play in those three road games in 11 opportunities. Meanwhile, their penalty kill has allowed three goals against (going with a 77-percent efficiency). In fact, the team’s power play is just a paltry 11.1-percent in 36 chances for the month of March. In fact, this team is averaging just over 2.5 goals for/game this month.

Toronto has been on a huge slide of late, losing five straight games in regulation and six out of their last seven. The only bright spot about this stretch is that they are allowing far fewer shot attempts against in their last five games (36) than they have for the season (a billion). Interestingly enough, the team has averaged 2.43 goals for/game in this little run, which isn’t very far behind what the Blues have scored for the month of March.

The Leafs went into St. Louis back in December and got shelled 6-3. In that game, the Blues held the Leafs to 22 shots and held the Kessel line largely in check (van Riemsdyk had an unassisted goal late in the third when it was 5-2, Kessel assisted on a Kadri goal at 4-0). I would be looking for some Blues players in this one and am even pretty high on Ryan Miller in 50/50 games.

Michael Clifford

Michael Clifford was born and raised in Fredericton, New Brunswick, Canada and is a graduate of the Unviersity of New Brunswick. He writes about fantasy hockey and baseball for XNSports and FantasyTrade411.com. He can be reached on Twitter @SlimCliffy for any fantasy hockey questions. Follow @SlimCliffy !function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=/^http:/.test(d.location)?'http':'https';if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+'://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js';fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document, 'script', 'twitter-wjs');

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