Week 16 Fantasy Football Defensive Matchup Exploitation: TE

Zach Miller fantasy football
Zach Miller fantasy football
Dec 15 2013 East Rutherford NJ USA Seattle Seahawks tight end Zach Miller 86 in the end zone against the New York Giants during the second half at MetLife Stadium Joe Camporeale USA TODAY Sports

Unlike other positions, a favorable tight end defensive matchup doesn’t guarantee most tight ends big games but an unfavorable matchup could be killer. Typically startable guys like Coby Fleener, Tony Gonzalez, and Martellus Bennett will all be touchdown dependent in their matchups this week. Even typically reliable Greg Olsen, despite catching eight passes, was held to just 40 yards in his last game against the Saints so he could be limited as well, as could Charles Clay and Tim Wright. I would definitely stay away from Brandon Myers, John Carlson, the Chiefs’ tight ends, and Rob Housler but Antonio Gates is still startable.

On the favorable side, Zach Miller has a great matchup against a Cardinals defense that has given up double-digit points to opposing tight ends in four of their last five games. Delanie Walker is coming off a good game against Arizona himself and finds another favorable matchup against a Jags defense that gave up 62 yards and a touchdown the last time he faced them.

I don’t trust either Cincy tight end, Garrett Graham, or Scott Chandler in their favorable matchups but Jason Witten looks like a good bet against the Redskins. Logan Paulsen could be a sleeper against the Cowboys but he’s hit-and-miss. Jordan Cameron could be a great matchup against the Jets but could very well miss that game with a concussion which is unfortunate. Otherwise, Julius Thomas, Vernon Davis, Dennis Pitta, Heath Miller, and, of course, Jimmy Graham are all good to go this week.

Let’s take a look at all of this week’s fantasy football tight end matchups.

Browse Matchups by Position: QBRBWRTE

Highly Unfavorable, Unfavorable, Neutral, Slightly Favorable, Favorable

Rank
vs
TE

AVG
TE
FPS
Allowed

Defense

Week 16 Opponents

1

5.36 Chiefs Coby Fleener

2

5.78 Eagles Martellus Bennett

3

5.94 Lions Brandon Myers

4

6.06 49ers Tony Gonzalez

5

6.3 Rams Tim Wright

6

6.57 Saints Greg Olsen

7

6.82 Bengals John Carlson

8

6.88 Bills Charles Clay

9

6.97 Colts Sean McGrath, Anthony Fasano

10

7.13 Seahawks Rob Housler

11

7.47 Raiders Antonio Gates

12

7.65 Ravens Michael Hoomanawanui

13

7.72 Steelers Andrew Quarless

14

7.75 Panthers Jimmy Graham

15

7.99 Buccaneers Jared Cook

16

8.05 Chargers Mychal Rivera

17

8.55 Browns Kellen Winslow, Jeff Cumberland

18

8.58 Packers Heath Miller

19

8.94 Titans Marcedes Lewis

20

8.94 Patriots Dennis Pitta

21

8.99 Giants Brandon Pettigrew, Joseph Fauria

22

8.99 Bears Zach Ertz, Brent Celek

23

9.01 Texans Julius Thomas

24

9.21 Falcons Vernon Davis

25

9.22 Jets Jordan Cameron (Q)

26

9.32 Cowboys Logan Paulsen, Fred Davis

27

9.45 Redskins Jason Witten

28

9.64 Broncos Garrett Graham

29

9.67 Dolphins Scott Chandler

30

10.18 Vikings Jermaine Gresham, Tyler Eifert

31

10.87 Jaguars Delanie Walker

32

14.88 Cardinals Zach Miller

*Values based on Yahoo standard scoring.

Browse Matchups by Position: QBRBWRTE

author avatar
Igor Derysh
Igor Derysh is Editor-at-Large at XN Sports and has been featured in The Los Angeles Times, Chicago Tribune, Boston Herald, Baltimore Sun, Orlando Sun-Sentinel, and FantasyPros. He has previously covered sports for COED Magazine, Fantasy Alarm, and Manwall.com.