NFL

Over the past few weeks, I have mentioned that spreads are getting incredibly close to what we are seeing reflected in the final scores of games. It makes sense. We now have three-quarters of a year’s worth of data at our fingertips, and it can be concluded that, in a head-to-head game, the Vikings are […]

I have to be fair. If I point to an average record in a difficult week as a ‘win,’ then I must point to good record in an ‘easy’ week as a ‘breakeven.’ Such is the task laid out before us. We aim to win, and I frequently comment that staying afloat in weeks where

Every week is a new opportunity when it comes to picking games against the spread. Last week, there were so many inflated spreads due to lopsided matchups that we only needed competitive efforts from a handful of teams in order to benefit. Unfortunately, they missed. But, the reality is that they didn’t miss by much.

Get ready. Last week, I wrote about how important it is to tread water when things get rough. We did so, again. But, “rough” waters aren’t made from results. They’re made from the shifts in trends. Subtle at first. Then violent. There’s a shift happening. We’re about to see it. In fact, it usually happens

What a week. I can’t tell if it should be considered ‘eerie’ or a self-fulfilling prophecy. Either way, it was critical. And it’s more critical that everyone understands why it’s so critical. Last week’s introduction focused wholly on approaching picks carefully after big wins. The key was that, when we regress – because we will

What a start to the season it has been. Week 1 was all about preseason expectations coming to light – it always is. Week 2 was all about overreactions from Week 1 – it always is. Week 3 is all about… everything. Through the 16 games detailed below, I kept finding certain trends cited and