Cory Joseph (DK $3900, FD, $3900, 16.3 USG) – I rarely enjoy rostering Cory Joseph. Every time I watch the Raptors play and he’s in the game, he kind of just stands around watching DeRozan and Lowry do all the work. But because of the lack of value at PG under 5K tonight, we’ll look at him because of the matchup. It’s hard to find a team playing worse than the Suns at the moment, so you want to take advantage of them whenever they pop up on the slate. Only the Lakers give up more fantasy points to PG’s and Joseph has been getting lots of playing time lately (He’s played 28 min in back to back games). He may even see more time tonight with James Johnson being ruled out. As of now, Terrance Ross (see below) is listed as the projected starter but either way, you’ll see lots of 3 guard lineup variations in TOR. Also in Joseph’s favor is the potential for a blowout as you have one of the hottest teams in the league going up against the coldest. The Raptors are the biggest favorites on the board tonight (-9.5). Having written all that, I’d try to find saving elsewhere and move up to the middle tier of PG’s.
Terrence Ross (DK $4000, FD $4200, 16.4 USG) – As mentioned above, Ross is listed as the projected starter for an injured James Johnson tonight. Over their last 10 games, the Suns have given up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing SF’s (where Ross should be playing if starting). The Suns opponents on the year average .378% from three (second worst behind WAS), which bodes well for a player like Ross who attempts 6.7 3PA per 36 minutes. Also, Ross was already playing fairly well (with exception to the Detroit game on Jan 30), averaging 24.2 DKPTS in 4 of his previous 5 games so getting the start in a very favorable matchup only puts him in play even more.
On FD, I really love the price for LaVine ($4700) who has seen a significant minutes boost with Kevin Martin out. Playing both SG and PG, I prefer him to Rubio on both sites to save some salary.
Justise Winslow (DK $4400, FD $4200, 12.2 USG) Luol Deng (DK $4800, FD $4800, 15.8 USG) – Deng and Winslow are in a very similar situation with Hassan Whiteside being ruled out again. They’ll both see big minutes (Winslow has played more than Deng in 3 of the last 4 games) and matched up against a Rockets team that gives up the 5th most fantasy points to SF’s. They’re similarly priced but if you can afford the extra $400, I’d pay for Deng. In the span of Whiteside’s absence over the last 4 games (when both have played), Winslow owns a 9.98 USG% compared to Deng’s 19.43 USG%. That difference in USG means a bit more when going up against a terrible defense like Houston’s.
Amar’e Stoudamire (DK $4400, FD $4200, 18.7 USG) – Don’t go into this chasing points and expecting a similar performance to the one against ATL, where Stoudamire recorded a double-double with 13 points and 12 rebounds. As long as you temper your expectations, Amar’e provides real solid value at his price. He’s averaged 1.14 FPPM over his last 4 filling in for Whiteside, in about 23 minutes. The minutes is the only concern here. You can’t roll him out there for 30+, I get it . . . it’s Amar’e Stoudamire. But if you give us 23 minutes of 1.14 FPPM, you’re looking at 26.22 fantasy points. Then you throw in the fact that the Rockets give up the most fantasy points to power forwards in the league, and will be without Dwight Howard . . . well then, you should be looking at close to 30 fantasy points which puts him at near 7X value. Minutes aren’t everything.
Gorgui Dieng (DK $5400, FD $5500, 17.0 USG) – Sometimes it’s not really worth it for me to post a value play under 5K when you have one sitting around that price range looking at you dead in the eyes begging you to roster him. That today, is Gorgui Deng. With Garnett ruled out again tonight, Dieng should continue to start at the 4 next to KAT against the Lakers (the dream matchup for big men). If you haven’t noticed what Dieng has done over his last 4 games without Garnett, allow me to give you a refresher.
- 1/25 vs CLE – 13 points, 6 rebounds 2 assists & 2 steals (26 DKPTS, 24.2 FDPTS)
- 1/27 vs OKC – 21 points, 9 rebounds 1 assist, 1 block & 1 steal (37.3 DKPTS, 36.3 FDPTS)
- 1/29 vs UTA – 20 points, 15 rebounds, 2 assists & 2 steals (47.3 DKPTS, 45 FDPTS)
- 1/31 vs POR – 13 points, 10 rebounds, 2 assists & 1 block (31.5 DKPTS, 29 FDPTS)
On FD, I understand the dilemma that comes with rostering either Dieng or KAT (I’d probably go with Dieng) but on DK, the no-brainer move is to roster both and build around them. Minnesota is only a 5 point favorite so feel free to deploy as many Wolves and Lakers you choose without worrying about a potential blowout.