One can find a huge edge in tournaments by targeting high scoring affairs and stacking players from these games as the higher scoring the match up, the more fantasy point production. I have singled out some games to target this week that I expect to be high scoring shootouts.
Wild Western Chalk
Pittsburgh @ Cincinatti – Over/Under: 49.5 Spread: CIN -3 This game will be targeted by the noobs to the sharps alike and for good reason. The Pittsburgh secondary allows the fourth most pass yards per game and Cincinnati will likely be without top corners Adam ‘Pacman’ Jones and Leon Hall. Both teams are bottom 10 in average yards allowed against the run. It makes sense for both teams to attack the contest with a passing game plan. The Pittsburgh Steelers offense is clicking like a tap dancing performance and all parts should be targeted. Dalton does have the potential to bust in a big match up, but he may go low owned as I believe most players will slot Big Ben in their lineups if they are targeting this game. Dalton has a ton of upside and he has been running a decent amount as well, raising his floor.
Ben Roethlisberger – 6.7% owned in Thursday contests
Antonio Brown – 15.7% owned in Thursday contests
Martavis Bryant – 13.1% owned in Thursday contests
DeAngelo Williams – 8.7% owned in Thursday contests
Tyler Eifert – 3.6% owned in Thursday contests
The Steelers allow the eighth most fantasy points to tight ends
Check for injury updates(neck)
Southern Style Standoff
New Orleans @ TB – Over/Under: 50.5 Spread: TB -4 Those who start with Vegas totals will begin right here with a gaudy 50.5 over/under, the highest of the week. Surprisingly, I think the main thing that could go wrong is the Saints offense not putting enough points on the board to force Jameis to throw a ton. That said I believe they will. I am not high on Doug Martin simply due to this developing into a shootout leaving him on the sidelines while Charles Sims works the passing game out of the backfield although the Bucs are favored.
Drew Brees – 3.3% owned in Thursday contests
Brandin Cooks – Check for injury updates because he is questionable with a concussion.
Ben Watson – 6.2% owned in Thursday contests
Jameis Winston – 9.9% owned in Thursday contests
Mike Evans – 13.1% owned in Thursday contest
Austin Seferian-Jenkins – 10.7% owned in Thursday contests
Undercover Shootout of the Week
The Monday night hammer this week is of Thor’s ilk and only you can wield the cash winning strength of its forge. This hammer is made of dreams, million dollar prizes, and live final tickets that stamp your place in NFL DFS history. History. Just the word has an ominous permeability of space and time as we know it because those two rulers are the measurements of which we have decided to mark life and human accomplishments. This is the last week to qualify for a live final in DFS with that final being the FFWC by DraftKings. I know you and I alike are going to do our best to catapult our way into the known cosmos of the DFS universe, breaching the clouds and perching our pride on a heavenly platform of biblical levels. This game is the vessel
Ryan Tannehill – 1.4% owned in Thursday contests
Jarvis Landry– 8.6% owned in Thursday contests
Bounce back spot
Lamar Miller – 10.7% owned in Thursday contests
Recommitted to the run, receiving 20 carries last game.
Giants Options Eli Manning – 2.7% owned in Thursday contests
Odell Beckham Jr. – 20.9% owned in Thursday contests
Lines as of 12.11.15
Ownership levels from @louiescards NFL Field Report article on RotoGrinders