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Fantasy Football Late Round Ceiling: Kenny Britt

Matt Dulcan thinks you can get great value by drafting Kenny Britt late in your 2015 fantasy football draft.

Kenny Britt

You are getting to the end of your best ball draft and need some wide receiver prospects to fill out your roster and provide possible production. You look around. You see Chris Conley and Albert Wilson playing catch with Mohamed Sanu and Marquess Wilson and shrug. Nobody is leaping out to you. Who is still available with a high ceiling and a floor that doesn’t descend to the middle of Earth? Your guy is Kenny Britt. His availability in best ball is ridiculous for his opportunity. He has a second option on his team floor with a first option ceiling. His ADP exists in the range of guys hoping to break through to the third wide receiver option, and others competing to stay on a roster. That means his opportunity cost is absolutely nothing! At pick 16-20, you are basically getting him for free.

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His ADP is around 200, which is pick 16.8, and I just grabbed him at 17.10 in an MFL10. What surprises me greatly is the other receiving options on his team, who are clearly after him on the depth chart, are being drafted at about the same place as Britt. Stedman Bailey and Tavon Austin were both around last year and operated behind Britt and I don’t see the pecking order shaking out differently in 2015. I also checked Ourlads and Rotoworld to see what they thought the depth charts would look like and both pegged Kenny Britt as the number two wide receiver, with Brian Quick as the number one.

In the 2014 season Kenny Britt compiled 48 receptions for 748 yards and three touchdowns with the 14th best yards-per-reception mark in the league. He did this with less than desirable quarterback play, and I’m fairly certain Nick Foles is better than the Shaun Hill and Austin Davis band. Another plus is Jeff Fisher has been quoted saying “We should see a lot more” out of Kenny Britt , according to Rotoworld. That sounds promising to me. That doesn’t even mention that Brian Quick is questionable for training camp, due to his having a very serious surgery in November of 2014, fixing his rotator cuff and three torn ligaments in his shoulder. This leaves Kenny Britt the possibility of starting the season as the number one wide receiver, with the chance to run away with the job.

This may seem like a slightly occasional situation to be in, but in all the MFL10s(myfantasyleague) I have done, I have found myself  in this conundrum. I now know where I’m going to look. Kenny Britt is a great pick in the 16-20th round, maybe even the 15th if the draft you are in is tight. I have noticed that everyone wants to talk about the early rounds, and how to move, so this was my first attempt at attacking a situation that may occur fairly often later in the rounds of best ball drafts.

Follow Matt Dulcan on @3rdowndotcom

h/t for stats and data

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