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Fantasy Football Week 14 Worksheet

Rich Hribar breaks down every game in the NFL to help owners prepare for their fantasy football playoff push.

Kenny Stills

Week 14 is the first round of the fantasy playoffs for the majority of leagues, but if you failed to make the postseason there’s still plenty of daily leagues you can get into. Let’s cover the full slate games bullet point style….

Cowboys @ Bears
-3.5 Spread 3.5
27.5 Team O/U 24
62.8 Plays/Gm 63.7
61.7 Opp. Plays/Gm 62.8
48.4% Rush % 36.3%
51.6% Pass % 63.7%
43.5% Opp. Rush % 40.1%
56.5% Opp. Pass % 59.9%

 

  • Martellus Bennett was targeted on 17.7 percent of his snaps last week, his highest percentage since week 4.
  • The five carries Matt Forte had last week were the fewest he’s had in a game since 2011.
  • Brandon Marshall ranks 45th in yards per target (6.5 yards) out of the top 50 scorers.
  • 28.2 percent of Marshall’s scoring output is from touchdowns, the second highest dependency at receiver.
  • Marshall has one top 30 scoring week in which he didn’t score a touchdown, Alshon Jeffery has three.
  • Jeffery has 29 percent of the team targets over the past four weeks, Marshall 22 percent.
  • Jay Cutler‘s finishes at home this season: QB10, QB16, QB26, QB2, QB24.
  • Chicago allows the most red zone attempts per game at 4.2.
  • Dallas hasn’t allowed a top 12 scoring tight end since week 8.
  • Dez Bryant has been targeted on 28.9 percent of his routes this season, the most of all receivers.

Trust: DeMarco Murray, Dez Bryant, Matt Forte

Bust: Brandon Marshall, Jason Witten

Reasonable Return: Alshon Jeffery, Martellus Bennett, Jay Cutler, Tony Romo

 

Ravens @ Dolphins
2.5 Spread -2.5
21 Team O/U 23.5
64.0 Plays/Gm 64.0
64.0 Opp. Plays/Gm 65.0
45.2% Rush % 40.5%
54.8% Pass % 59.5%
36.9% Opp. Rush % 42.4%
63.1% Opp. Pass % 57.6%

 

  • Baltimore has allowed a touchdown on just 13 percent of their opponents drives (eight of 60) while playing away this season, lowest percentage in the league.
  • Torrey Smith has been a top 20 scoring receiver in five of his past seven games.
  • Steve Smith has one top 40 scoring week over the past six games.
  • Torrey Smith has just one reception of 40 yards or more on the season. He had 17 over his first three seasons and eight in 2013.
  • The Ravens have allowed a top 12 quarterback in four of their past five games.
  • Baltimore has allowed eight top 24 scoring receivers over the same stretch.
  • Jarvis Landry has been a top 30 receiving in five consecutive games, but has been a top 20 receiver in only one of those games.
  • Landry has 10 more receptions (32) than Mike Wallace over the past five weeks, but only 20 more receiving yards.
  • Lamar Miller has topped 90 yards rushing only once this season, but ranks 5th in points per rushing attempt (0.73) out of all backs with 100 carries.
  • No back has reached 70 rushing yards on Baltimore this season and only four have reached 50 yards on the ground.
  • Miami is allowing 177.3 yards rushing over the past three weeks, second most in the league.

Trust: Justin Forsett, Ryan Tannehill

Bust: Lamar Miller, Joe Flacco, Steve Smith

Reasonable Return: Torrey Smith, Jarvis Landry, Mike Wallace

 

Colts @ Browns
-3.5 Spread 3.5
26.5 Team O/U 23
70.2 Plays/Gm 66.8
63.1 Opp. Plays/Gm 69.1
38.8% Rush % 47.1%
61.2% Pass % 52.9%
37.9% Opp. Rush % 43.8%
62.1% Opp. Pass % 56.2%

 

  • Indianapolis is allowing the third most rushing points per attempt (0.69) but they’ve seen the sixth fewest rushing attempts (287).
  • Since Ben Tate‘s release, Isaiah Crowell has 30 touches for 132 yards while Terrance West has 24 for 107 yards.
  • Crowell has played at least 60 percent of the snaps in three consecutive weeks, West hasn’t played 60 percent of the snaps since week 2.
  • In his two games back, Gordon leads the Browns in targets (29), receptions (15) and yards (195).
  • Gordon has been targeted on 39.7 percent of his routes over the past two weeks, most in the league.
  • Andrew Luck has 14 touchdown passes of 25 yards or more, he had 15 such touchdowns over his first two seasons.
  • Coby Fleener has been targeted on 19.8 percent of his routes the past three weeks with Dwayne Allen out, up from the 16.5 percent beforehand.
  • Donte Moncrief has played 58 snaps the past two weeks to Hakeem Nicks‘ 45.

Trust: Josh Gordon, Isaiah Crowell, Andrew Luck

Bust:  Donte Moncrief, Coby Fleener, Dwayne Allen,

Reasonable Return: Andrew Hawkins, T.Y. Hilton, Dan Herron, Reggie Wayne, Terrance West 

 

Panthers @ Saints
11 Spread -11
18.8 Team O/U 29.8
65.5 Plays/Gm 69.2
63.5 Opp. Plays/Gm 63.8
41.1% Rush % 38.8%
58.9% Pass % 61.2%
41.9% Opp. Rush % 42.1%
58.1% Opp. Pass % 57.9%

 

  • Since returning in week 7, Kenny Stills leads the Saints in targets (42), receptions (34), and yards (550) and is only behind Jimmy Graham with three scores.
  • In the two weeks since Brandin Cooks was lost for the season, Stills has been targeted on 25.9 percent of his routes, Marques Colston just 12.9 percent.
  • Graham has scored in six consecutive games facing Carolina with eight scores in nine career games against them.
  • Since week 8, Mark Ingram leads the league in rushing attempts (138) and rushing yards (608).
  • Carolina allowed 121.4 yards and 5.3 yards per carry to opposing backs through their first seven games. They are allowing 74.6 and 3.2 yards per carry over their past five games to backs.
  • 52 percent of Kelvin Benjamin‘s points have been scored in the 4th quarter this season.
  • The Saints have allowed 168 rushing yards per game over the past three weeks and a top 12 scoring running back in four straight games.
  • Greg Olsen hasn’t reached 50 receiving yards in seven games facing New Orleans as a member of the Panthers.

Trust: Drew Brees, Jimmy Graham, Kenny Stills

Bust: Greg Olsen, Marques Colston

Reasonable Return: Mark Ingram, Jonathan Stewart, Cam Newton, Kelvin Benjamin

 

Steelers @ Bengals
3 Spread -3
22 Team O/U 25
69.2 Plays/Gm 63.0
57.8 Opp. Plays/Gm 69.8
39.2% Rush % 47.6%
60.8% Pass % 52.4%
40.9% Opp. Rush % 42.3%
59.1% Opp. Pass % 57.7%

 

  • The Bengals have allowed just two touchdowns on their opponents past 29 drives, fewest over the past three weeks.
  • Cincinnati has 12 rushing scores inside the 5-yard line, most in the NFL.
  • The Bengals have allowed only one top 12 scoring quarterback over their past six games while holding four to single digit scoring.
  • Ben Roethlisberger has thrown multiple touchdowns in just one of his past 10 games against the Bengals and hasn’t had a 300-yard passing game against them since 2005.
  • Andy Dalton is on pace for 486 pass attempts this season, it would be the first time passing under 500 times in his career.
  • The Steelers have allowed multiple touchdown passes in six straight games.
  • For his career, A.J. Green averages 45.8 fewer receiving yards at home than on the road.
  • Le’Veon Bell‘s 643 receiving yards are the most by a Steelers running back since the franchise record of 762 by Ray Farmer in 1955.
  • Bell needs 86 yards from scrimmage this week to move into second place for yards from scrimmage in a season for Pittsburgh behind Barry Foster‘s 2,034 yards in 1992.

Trust: Le’Veon Bell, Antonio Brown

Bust: Ben Roethlisberger, Martavis Bryant

Reasonable Return: A.J. Green, Andy Dalton, Mohamed Sanu, Gio Bernard, Jeremy Hill

 

Buccaneers @ Lions
10.5 Spread -10.5
15.5 Team O/U 26
59.3 Plays/Gm 65.9
65.8 Opp. Plays/Gm 61.2
37.1% Rush % 37.2%
62.9% Pass % 62.8%
44.6% Opp. Rush % 34.7%
55.4% Opp. Pass % 65.3%

 

  • Since their week 7 bye, the Bucs are allowing only 214 passing yards per game with seven touchdowns with seven interceptions.
  • Vincent Jackson ranks 50th at receiver in points per target at 1.22.
  • Josh McCown has thrown a touchdown pass on 3.3 percent of his passes, which ranks 32nd of all quarterbacks. Matt Stafford is right behind him at 3.2 percent.
  • Tampa Bay hasn’t allowed a top 12 receiver since week 6.
  • Doug Martin has 27 carries the past two weeks compared to 11 for Charles Sims.
  • Detroit has allowed just one opposing running back to rush for 80 yards in a game this season.
  • Since returning, Calvin Johnson has 33 percent of the team targets while Golden Tate has 23 percent.
  • Tate has been a top 25 scoring receiver in three of those four games, topping 80 receiving yards three times.

Trust: Calvin Johnson

Bust: Josh McCown, Doug Martin, Vincent Jackson

Reasonable Return: Golden Tate, Matt Stafford, Joique Bell, Mike Evans

 

Texans @ Jaguars
-5.5 Spread 5.5
23.8 Team O/U 18.3
64.6 Plays/Gm 62.1
68.8 Opp. Plays/Gm 68.5
50.5% Rush % 37.2%
49.5% Pass % 62.8%
41.3% Opp. Rush % 44.2%
58.7% Opp. Pass % 55.8%

 

  • In the past four games started by Ryan Fitzpatrick, DeAndre Hopkins has reeled in 26 of 40 targets for 556 yards and three scores with at least five receptions for 95 yards in all four games.
  • Arian Foster has a receiving touchdown in four straight games, the longest active streak in the league.
  • J. Watt has three touchdowns on his three receptions this season; Andre Johnson has three touchdowns on his past 113 catches.
  • The Jaguars have scored a touchdown on just one of their past 22 drives.
  • Blake Bortles 0.28 passing points per attempt ranks ahead of only Geno Smith and Mike Vick.
  • Since Allen Robinson was lost for the season, the Jacksonville targets have been Marqise Lee (13), Allen Hurns (12) and Cecil Shorts (11).
  • Lee has more receiving yards (127) than Shorts and Hurns combined (96) over those games.
  • Houston has allowed a receiver to score in every game since week 1.
  • Jacksonville allowed three 300-yards passing games over their first four games, but haven’t allowed one since.

Trust: DeAndre Hopkins, Arian Foster

Bust: Blake Bortles, Denard Robinson, Cecil Shorts

Reasonable Return: Marqise Lee, Andre Johnson, Ryan Fitzpatrick

 

Jets @ Vikings
7 Spread -7
16.8 Team O/U 23.8
66.2 Plays/Gm 61.5
60.4 Opp. Plays/Gm 63.8
46.5% Rush % 41.1%
53.5% Pass % 58.9%
40.4% Opp. Rush % 43.9%
59.6% Opp. Pass % 56.1%

 

  • After receiving 22 targets in his first two games in New York, Percy Harvin has just 13 targets over the past three weeks, catching five for 31 yards.
  • Eric Decker hasn’t hit 70 receiving yards in a game since week 1.
  • These two teams have combined for just three 250 yard passing games all season.
  • Teddy Bridgewater has passed for over 6.0 yards per attempt in three of his eight starts.
  • Over the past four weeks, Chris Johnson has rushed for 71 more yards (237) than Chris Ivory in three fewer carries.
  • Over the past three games, Charles Johnson has played 87 percent of the snaps, had 26 percent of the targets and accounted for 36 percent of the Vikings’ receiving yardage.

Trust: Charles Johnson

Bust: Chris Ivory, Eric Decker, Percy Harvin

Reasonable Return: Teddy Bridgewater, Kyle Rudolph, Chris Johnson

 

Giants @ Titans
0 Spread 0
22.8 Team O/U 22.8
67.6 Plays/Gm 56.0
63.0 Opp. Plays/Gm 70.4
41.7% Rush % 38.9%
58.3% Pass % 61.1%
45.6% Opp. Rush % 47.6%
54.4% Opp. Pass % 52.4%

 

  • The Titans have allowed 832 rushing yards over their past five games with seven rushing touchdowns to go along with five top 10 scoring backs.
  • Tennessee has just 91 rushing attempts since week 8 (18.2 per game), the fewest in the league.
  • Odell Beckham has six receptions and 90 receiving yards in five consecutive games, the longest streak in Giants history.
  • Rueben Randle has been targeted on just 10.1 percent of his routes the past two weeks.
  • Last week was Kendall Wright‘s third 100-yard receiving game in 43 career games played.
  • The Giants have allowed eight red zone passing touchdowns, second fewest in the league (St. Louis).

Trust: Odell Beckham, Rashad Jennings

Bust: Zach Mettenberger, Nate Washington, Bishop Sankey, Rueben Randle

Reasonable Return: Eli Manning, Kendall Wright, Delanie Walker

 

Rams @ Washington
-2.5 Spread 2.5
23.5 Team O/U 21
60.5 Plays/Gm 63.4
63.1 Opp. Plays/Gm 60.0
42.2% Rush % 40.6%
57.8% Pass % 59.4%
41.2% Opp. Rush % 43.3%
58.8% Opp. Pass % 56.7%

 

  • Washington has allowed eight passing touchdowns of 25 yards or longer over their past four games.
  • Stedman Bailey has 27 percent of the St. Louis targets over the past two weeks and has turned in a top 10 scoring week as well as a top 30 .
  • Bailey has been targeted on 29.8 percent of his routes the past two weeks, 9th highest at receiver.
  • Jordan Reed is being targeted on 28.3 percent of his routes in games started by Colt McCoy or Kirk Cousins as opposed to 16 percent with Robert Griffin.
  • The Rams have allowed only one tight end to reach 60 receiving yards in a game this season (Cooper Helfet 61) and four total over the past two seasons.
  • Washington has allowed just three backs to rush for 80 yards or more against them this season.
  • DeSean Jackson is the only player in the league with double digit receptions of 40 or more yards (10).
  • Alfred Morris has finished as a top 20 running back in just three of the seven games that Griffin failed to play the majority of snaps at quarterback.
  • Morris finished as a top 12 back in three of the four games with Griffin.

Trust: Stedman Bailey, DeSean Jackson

Bust: Pierre Garcon, Alfred Morris, Colt McCoy, Tre Mason, Jared Cook

Reasonable Return: Shaun Hill, Kenny Britt, Jordan Reed

 

Bills @ Broncos
11.5 Spread -11.5
18 Team O/U 29.5
63.2 Plays/Gm 68.2
64.8 Opp. Plays/Gm 64.5
40.5% Rush % 39.5%
59.5% Pass % 60.5%
38.6% Opp. Rush % 33.3%
61.4% Opp. Pass % 66.7%

 

  • J. Anderson is the first Denver back to have 100 yards from scrimmage in four consecutive games since Knowshon Moreno in 2010.
  • After allowing 67.5 yards rushing over their first six games, Buffalo has allowed 125.2 over their past six with 125 plus yards in four of those games.
  • Denver has scored a touchdown on 47 percent of their drives at home this season, highest mark at home in the league.
  • The Bills haven’t allowed a top 20 receiver since week 6.
  • Buffalo has five or more sacks in five games this season, the most in the league.
  • 63 percent of Fred Jackson‘s scoring output is from receiving, only Shane Vereen and Ahmad Bradshaw have a higher dependency on receiving out of the top 20 backs.
  • Denver has allowed just one 100-yard receiver this season, fewest in the league.

Trust: C.J. Anderson, Peyton Manning

Bust: Kyle Orton, Sammy Watkins

Reasonable Return: Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, Robert Woods, Fred Jackson

 

Chiefs @ Cardinals
0 Spread 0
20 Team O/U 20
59.9 Plays/Gm 61.1
63.7 Opp. Plays/Gm 63.5
46.7% Rush % 39.7%
53.3% Pass % 60.3%
43.5% Opp. Rush % 38.5%
56.5% Opp. Pass % 61.5%

 

  • Arizona has scored a touchdown on just three of their 29 drives over the past three weeks and a touchdown on 10 of 74 drives in games started by Drew Stanton.
  • The Cardinals allowed their first 100-yard rusher last week since week 6 of last season.
  • Arizona has allowed one top 12 running back (Joique Bell RB12) all season.
  • Kansas City has allowed 169.4 rushing yards per game over their past five.
  • Arizona has combined to rush 79 times for 173 yards (2.2 YPC) over their past four games.
  • Alex Smith has rushed for single digit rushing yards in six of his past nine games. He ran for single digit yardage in only three games last season.
  • Travis Kelce has played 80 percent of the snaps or higher in three consecutive games.
  • Jamaal Charles has scored once every 16 touches this season, the best mark of any back with 100 or more touches.

Trust: Jamaal Charles

Bust: Alex Smith, Dwayne Bowe, Marion Grice, John Brown, Michael Floyd

Reasonable Return: Travis Kelce

 

49ers @ Raiders
-9.5 Spread 9.5
25.3 Team O/U 15.8
64.2 Plays/Gm 60.8
60.1 Opp. Plays/Gm 65.7
45.1% Rush % 32.4%
54.9% Pass % 67.6%
40.2% Opp. Rush % 49.4%
59.8% Opp. Pass % 50.6%

 

  • Oakland has allowed 15 or more points to 11 different backs this season.
  • Since their week 8 bye, the 49ers have scored a touchdown on 12 percent (seven of 57) of their drives, the third lowest percentage ahead of only Oakland and the Jets.
  • San Francisco is averaging 114.8 yards rushing per game, their lowest total since 2010.
  • Colin Kaepernick hasn’t finished above QB15 in any week since week 6.
  • Kaepernick is on pace for 501 pass attempts this season after throwing 416 last season.
  • The 49ers have allowed a 100-yard rusher in three of their past four games and in back to back games for the first time since 2012.
  • Derek Carr has thrown for less than 6.0 yards per attempt in five consecutive starts.

Trust: Frank Gore

Bust: Michael Crabtree, Derek Carr, Latavius Murray

Reasonable Return: Colin Kaepernick, Anquan Boldin

 

Seahawks @ Eagles
0 Spread 0
24 Team O/U 24
62.2 Plays/Gm 73.1
58.2 Opp. Plays/Gm 68.4
50.8% Rush % 39.2%
49.2% Pass % 60.8%
41.9% Opp. Rush % 40.4%
58.1% Opp. Pass % 59.6%

 

  • Russell Wilson has thrown 10 touchdowns to only one interception on the road this season.
  • Wilson has been a top 15 scorer in five of his six road games this season and a top three scorer three times.
  • All nine of Marshawn Lynch‘s rushing touchdowns have come at home this season.
  • In Mark Sanchez‘s starts, Jordan Matthews finishes have been WR3, WR10, WR34 and WR28.
  • Jeremy Maclin‘s finishes have been WR45, WR6, WR38 and WR16.
  • Wilson has been sacked on 14.6 percent of his drop backs the past three weeks, second most in the league.
  • Seattle has held five of the past seven wide receiver units they’ve faced under 100 combined yards.
  • The last quarterback to finish in the top half of weekly scoring against Seattle was Kirk Cousins in week 5.
  • Darren Sproles has had less than five touches in three of the past four games and hasn’t had double digit touches since week 2.

Trust: Russell Wilson, Marshawn Lynch

Bust: Jeremy Maclin, Mark Sanchez

Reasonable Return: LeSean McCoy, Jordan Matthews

 

Patriots @ Chargers
-3.5 Spread 3.5
27.3 Team O/U 23.8
67.6 Plays/Gm 62.3
65.5 Opp. Plays/Gm 60.9
40.9% Rush % 41.7%
59.1% Pass % 58.3%
39.9% Opp. Rush % 41.9%
60.1% Opp. Pass % 58.1%

 

  • Rob Gronkowski has 11 more receptions (52), 238 more yards (763) than the next closest tight end in each category and his six touchdowns trail only Julius Thomas over that span.
  • Gronkowski has been targeted on 29.1 percent of his routes, highest mark of all players.
  • Brandon LaFell has been a top 20 PPR scoring receiver in six of the past nine games. Julian Edelman has been a top 30 scorer in just three of those games.
  • San Diego has just five rushing attempts inside the 5-yard line this season, tied with Oakland for the fewest in the league.
  • Only Antonio Brown (74) and Demaryius Thomas (82) have more targets than Keenan Allen (69) since week 7.
  • Antonio Gates‘ nine touchdown receptions are the most in season by a player 34 years or older since Terrell Owens 2010. There have only been eight seasons with double digit touchdown receptions by a player 34 years old or older.
  • Last week was Philip Rivers’ first top 12 scoring week since week 6.

Trust: Tom Brady, Rob Gronkowski, Brandon LaFell

Bust: Shane Vereen, Philip Rivers, Keenan Allen

Reasonable Return: Julian Edelman, Ryan Mathews, Antonio Gates

 

Falcons @ Packers
13 Spread -13
21.3 Team O/U 34.3
65.2 Plays/Gm 61.1
65.9 Opp. Plays/Gm 67.8
37.0% Rush % 42.6%
63.0% Pass % 57.4%
43.6% Opp. Rush % 43.6%
56.4% Opp. Pass % 56.4%

 

  • Jordy Nelson has only topped six targets in a game in two of his past six games.
  • Atlanta has allowed 75 or more receiving yards to 17 different receivers and seven different sets of teammates.
  • Eddie Lacy has topped 100 yards from scrimmage in five straight games.
  • Green Bay has punted 20 times at home this season and scored 25 offensive touchdowns.
  • Last week, Steven Jackson rushed 100 yards in a game for the firsrt time since week 12 of 2012.
  • It was the first 100-yard rushing game by an Atlanta running back since Michael Turner in week 9 of 2012.
  • Matt Ryan averages 6.2 yards per pass attempt on the road this season as opposed to 8.6 Y/A at home this season.
  • The Packers allow opposing to complete 55.9 percent of their passes at Lambeau, best home mark in the league as opposed to 67.0 percent on the road.
  • Julio Jones has totaled 350 receiving yards on 19 receptions with three touchdowns in the two games Roddy White has missed. He averages 6.3 receptions for 81.9 yards with two scores.
  • Those two games account for 32 percent of Jones’ PPR output.

Trust: Aaron Rodgers, Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Eddie Lacy

Bust: Matt Ryan, Steven Jackson

Reasonable Return: Julio Jones, Roddy White

 

Context Key:

Trust = Set him in your lineups this week

Bust = Player to underperform season average

Reasonable Return = On par with seasonal average

 

*Statistics provided by ProFootballFocus, Pro-Football-Reference, NFLData.com. All Vegas Lines Provided by 5Dimes

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