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Fantasy Football Week 7 Worksheet

Rich Hribar previews every week 7 NFL game bullet-point style to find the best fantasy football plays of the week.

Joe Flacco

Let’s hit all of the week 7 games bullet point style…..

Jets @ Patriots
10.5 Spread -10.5
17.5 Team O/U 27
64.3 Plays/Gm 67.8
64.0 Opp. Plays/Gm 61.3
41.5% Rush % 43.7%
58.5% Pass % 56.3%
41.2% Opp. Rush % 42.9%
58.8% Opp. Pass % 57.1%

 

  • The Jets have scored just 34 points over the past three weeks, fewest in the NFL.
  • Over the past three weeks, the Jets average 230.3 yards of offense, last in the league.
  • Jace Amaro‘s 10 receptions last week were the most receptions by a Jet’s rookie since Al Toon in 1985.
  • Over the first four weeks, Tom Brady passed for 791 yards, 5.7 yards per attempt and has seven total completions of 20 or more yards. In the two games since, he has 653 passing yards, a 9.1 yards per attempt and has eight completions of 20 plus yards.
  • The Jets are allowing 0.55 passing points per attempt, second most in the league.
  • The average weekly finish for quarterbacks facing the Jets since week 1 is QB7.2.
  • The Jets have allowed back to back 100 yard rushers for the first time since weeks 14 and 15 of 2008 (Maurice Morris and Marshawn Lynch).
  • The Patriots ran for 144 yards combined in both games versus the Jets in 2013.
  • Brandon LaFell has seen 21 percent of the Patriot targets over the past four weeks.
  • Stevan Ridley had accounted for 42 percent of the Patriots’ carries inside the 5-yard line since 2012  and converted 48 percent (16 of 33) for touchdowns.
  • Shane Vereen has converted just four of 12 such attempts for touchdowns and Brandon Bolden just four of 13.
  • The Jets have allowed seven touchdowns to tight ends over the past four weeks and three different tight ends (Martellus Bennett, Antonio Gates and Julius Thomas) scored multiple times.

Trust: Tom Brady, Rob Gronkowski, Julian Edelman

Bust: Geno Smith, Chris Johnson, Eric Decker, Brandon Bolden

Reasonable Return: Shane Vereen, Brandon LaFell, Chris Ivory

 

Vikings @ Bills
5.5 Spread -5.5
18.5 Team O/U 23.5
64 Plays/Gm 63.7
61.8 Opp. Plays/Gm 65.3
41.7% Rush % 40.8%
58.3% Pass % 59.2%
45.6% Opp. Rush % 37.0%
54.4% Opp Pass % 63.0%

 

  • Cordarrelle Patterson has gone over 61 receiving yards in just one of 22 career games played.
  • Jerick McKinnon is the only back in the top 40 of PPR scoring yet to score a touchdown.
  • 36 percent of Teddy Bridgewater‘s fantasy points have been from rushing, highest percentage in the league. He ranks last of all starting quarterbacks in passing points per attempt at 0.26 per throw.
  • 60 percent of the Minnesota touchdowns this season have been rushing.
  • Buffalo has yet to allow a rushing touchdown and lead the league in opponent rushing yards per game (67.5) and yards per carry (2.8).
  • The Bills are also allowing only 0.28 fantasy points per rushing attempt, best in the league.
  • Three of the six defenses to face Minnesota so far this season have been the top scoring defense that week.
  • Buffalo is last in the NFL in first downs per offensive play (.0264).

Trust: Fred Jackson, Sammy Watkins

Bust: Matt Asiata, Jerick McKinnon, Teddy Bridgewater

Reasonable Return: Robert Woods, C.J. Spiller, Cordarrelle Patterson

 

Falcons @ Ravens
7.5 Spread -7.5
21.5 Team O/U 28.5
64.0 Plays/Gm 66.0
67.3 Opp. Plays/Gm 64.2
35.4% Rush % 42.7%
64.6% Pass % 57.3%
48.8% Opp. Rush % 38.4%
51.2% Opp Pass % 61.6%

 

  • The Falcons are first in the league in offensive yards per play (6.4) and last in the league in defensive yards allowed per play (6.2).
  • Matt Ryan’s only two top 12 scoring weeks this season have come at home against Tampa bay and New Orleans. In the other four weeks, his average finish is QB20.3.
  • Atlanta has already allowed nine top 20 scoring weeks to running backs.
  • The Ravens have scored on 50 percent (31 of 62) of their offensive drives, best in the league and have punted on only 27 percent, fewest in the league.
  • Steve Smith‘s 573 receiving yards are the third most he’s ever had in his career through six games (675 in 2011).
  • Smith has six receptions already that have gained 25 or more yards. He had two all of last season.

Trust: Justin Forsett, Steve Smith

Bust: Matt Ryan, Steven Jackson, Owen Daniels

Reasonable Return: Joe Flacco, Torrey Smith, Julio Jones, Roddy White

 

Browns @ Jaguars
-5.5 Spread 5.5
25 Team O/U 20
64.2 Plays/Gm 61.0
68.2 Opp. Plays/Gm 70.2
51.1% Rush % 32.2%
48.9% Pass % 67.8%
44.3% Opp. Rush % 41.6%
55.7% Opp Pass % 58.4%

 

  • Jacksonville is last in the league in red zone attempts per game at 1.5 and last offensive yards per game (290.0), yards per play (4.7) and averages 2.0 giveaways per contest.
  • Jacksonville averages only 24.6 yards per drive, last in the league.
  • The average weekly DST finish versus the Jaguars this season has been 5.2.
  • Jaguar running backs have now carried 98 times for 286 rushing yards on the season and as a team they have rushed for over 100 yards as a team in only game over their past eight dating back to last season.
  • Clay Harbor‘s 11.4 yards per target leads all tight ends with double digit targets.
  • Allen Robinson ranks last out of all receivers in PPR points per reception at 2.0 for all receivers in the top 50 scorers.
  • Jordan Cameron is the only tight end in the top 50 of scoring to catch fewer than half of his targets (45 percent).
  • Isaiah Crowell‘s four rushing touchdowns are tied for the most ever by a Browns’ rookie running back through five games with Trent Richardson and Ron Johnson.
  • 11 of Crowell’s 44 carries have gone for 10 or more yards, the highest percentage in the league.
  • Cleveland averages 19.2 rushes per game in the second half of games, second most in the league (San Francisco) while Jacksonville sees 17.2 runs per game in the second half, fourth most in the league.

Trust: Ben Tate

Bust: Toby Gerhart, Blake Bortles, Allen Robinson, Clay Harbor

Reasonable Return: Jordan Cameron, Brian Hoyer, Isaiah Crowell, Cecil Shorts

 

Panthers @ Packers
7.5 Spread -7.5
21 Team O/U 28
65.2 Plays/Gm 59.0
64.7 Opp. Plays/Gm 69.7
39.4% Rush % 40.9%
60.6% Pass % 59.1%
39.2% Opp. Rush % 48.1%
60.8% Opp Pass % 51.9%

 

  • The Packers average 4.7 offensive touchdowns per game over the past three weeks, most in the league.
  • Carolina is allowing 5.5 yards per rushing attempt, worst in the league after allowing 3.9 yards per carry in 2013.
  • The Panthers have allowed seven top 20 weekly scoring running backs so far.
  • Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb each have eight targets inside of the 10-yard line, tied with Larry Donnell for the league lead.
  • Cobb has converted six for scores, while Nelson only two.
  • Since week 1, Aaron Rodgers has thrown 14 touchdowns and zero interceptions.
  • Eddie Lacy and James Starks have played the same number of snaps (67) over the past two weeks, but Lacy has out-touched Starks 30 to 24 and outgained him 172 to 90.
  • Last week was the second time Cam Newton rushed for over 100 yards in a game. The first was week 14 of 2012 when he rushed for 116 yards, which was aided by a 72 yard touchdown run.
  • His 17 carries were the most rushing attempts in his career and three more than he had on the season entering the week.
  • Newton is averaging more passing yards per game than any year in his career (253.4) and has by far his lowest interception percentage (1.1 percent).

Trust: Aaron Rodgers, Jordy Nelson

Bust: Greg Olsen

Reasonable Return: Randall Cobb, Eddie Lacy, Davante Adams, Kelvin Benjamin, Cam Newton

 

Bengals @ Colts
3 Spread -3
23 Team O/U 26
62.6 Plays/Gm 76.7
75.2 Opp. Plays/Gm 57.5
48.2% Rush % 40.7%
51.8% Pass % 59.3%
39.1% Opp. Rush % 39.1%
60.9% Opp Pass % 60.9%

 

  • The Colts average time of possession the past three weeks has been 39:17, best in the league.
  • Teams average only 2:00 per drive versus Indianapolis for the season, lowest total in the league.
  • The Colts are allowing 0.79 fantasy points per rushing attempt, the most in the league, but have seen only the 23rd most carries against them.
  • Andy Dalton has finished outside of the top half in weekly scoring only once so far this season.
  • Mohamed Sanu has caught 21 of 32 targets for 234 yards and two scores over the past three weeks.
  • The Bengals are allowing 25.2 first downs per game, most in the league while Indy averages 26.7 first downs per game, second most in the league.
  • Cincinnati is allowing 94.6 receiving yards per game to tight ends, most in the league.
  • Trent Richardson is second in the NFL in attempts inside of the 5-yard line with seven, he’s converted only two for touchdowns.
  • Andrew Luck has 51 pass attempts in the red zone this season; he had 78 all of 2013.
  • Luck has 25 or more completions in five games already, matching his season total from 2013.

Trust: Andrew Luck, Gio Bernard

Bust: Reggie Wayne, Trent Richardson

Reasonable Return: Dwayne Allen, T.Y. Hilton, Coby Fleener, Ahmad Bradshaw, Mohamed Sanu, Andy Dalton, Jeremy Hill

 

Dolphins @ Bears
3 Spread -3
23 Team O/U 26
66.6 Plays/Gm 65.3
70.6 Opp. Plays/Gm 59.7
41.1% Rush % 37.5%
58.9% Pass % 62.5%
41.4% Opp. Rush % 40.2%
58.6% Opp Pass % 59.8%

 

  • Matt Forte is averaging 7.7 receptions per game and is on pace for 123 for the season. The last back to reach 100 receptions was LaDainian Tomlinson in 2003.
  • The Bears target distribution in the red zone this season: Martellus Bennett (12), Brandon Marshall (11), Forte (9) and Alshon Jeffery (6).
  • The Bears have allowed only one top 12 PPR running back and only four top 24 PPR receivers so far this season. They allowed 11 in 2013.
  • Lamar Miller is second amongst all running backs in points per attempt (0.81) out all back with at least 50 carries.
  • Ryan Tannehill has just five completions of 25 yards or more on the season, fewest of all quarterbacks that haven’t missed a game this season.

Trust: Jay Cutler, Brandon Marshall, Matt Forte

Bust: Ryan Tannehill

Reasonable Return: Alshon Jeffery, Martellus Bennett, Lamar Miller, Mike Wallace

 

Saints @ Lions
2.5 Spread -2.5
23.5 Team O/U 26
70.4 Plays/Gm 65.7
62.8 Opp. Plays/Gm 60.5
36.7% Rush % 40.9%
63.3% Pass % 59.1%
42.4% Opp. Rush % 37.2%
57.6% Opp Pass % 62.8%

 

  • Matt Stafford has finished in the top half of weekly scoring only twice this season.
  • Golden Tate leads the league in third down receptions with 15.
  • In the three games that Calvin Johnson has been inactive, Matt Stafford is averaging 221 passing yards and one touchdown per game as opposed to 298 yards and 1.8 touchdowns when Johnson is active.
  • Stafford’s weekly finishes in those three weeks are QB17, QB20 and QB24.
  • The Saints average 42.4 yards per drive, best in the league, while the Lions allow only 22.5 yards per drive, fewest in the league.
  • The Saints lead the league in fantasy points per rushing attempt (0.84).
  • Marques Colston has been targeted on 15.4 percent of his routes, 74th on the league.
  • Brandin Cooks has scored on just one of his 41 targets, which ranks 39th of all receivers in target to touchdown ratio.
  • Per Pro Football Focus, Cooks ranks last in average depth of target at 5.6 yards of all receivers that have played half of their team’s offensive snaps.
  • Josh Hill and Ben Watson combined to catch eight of 10 targets for 96 yards after Jimmy Graham left his last game with an injury. Watson played 80 snaps to Hill’s 32.
  • The Saints have only two takeaways this season, last in the league.
  • The Saints are allowing only 9.8 possessions per game, fewest in the league.
  • Since Drew Brees has been a member of the Saints, his average line following a bye week is 26.6 for 41.5 for 360 yards and 3.3 touchdowns.

Trust: Golden Tate, Drew Brees

Bust: Matt Stafford, Eric Ebron

Reasonable Return: Joique Bell, Reggie Bush, Marques Colston, Brandin Cooks, Josh Hill, Ben Watson

 

Seahawks @ Rams
-7.5 Spread 7.5
25 Team O/U 18
58.4 Plays/Gm 68.4
65.2 Opp. Plays/Gm 59.4
48.3% Rush % 37.4%
51.7% Pass % 62.6%
40.5% Opp. Rush % 51.9%
59.5% Opp Pass % 48.1%

 

  • 44.6 percent of the offensive yards gained by Seattle have been rushing, the highest percentage in the league.
  • 32.8 percent of Russell Wilson‘s fantasy output stems from rushing, rushing made up 22.2 percent of his fantasy total in 2013.
  • Wilson’s 34.1 rushing points are more than the totals that Zac Stacy, Jamaal Charles, Fred Jackson, C.J. Spiller and Ahmad Bradshaw have posted on the season.
  • Wilson has passed for more than 250 yards in only one of his past nine games dating back to last season.
  • Percy Harvin has fewer receiving yards (133) than both Tampa Bay tight ends (Seferian-Jenkins 139, Brandon Myers 136).
  • Seattle has already allowed six top 24 weeks to opposing receivers, the same number they allowed all of 2013.
  • Seattle has allowed seven touchdowns to opposing tight ends, but only one top 12 scoring week to a tight end.
  • Brian Quick has just 12.8 percent of the team targets over the past three weeks.

Trust: Marshawn Lynch, Russell Wilson

Bust: Austin Davis, Zac Stacy, Brian Quick, Percy Harvin

Reasonable Return: Doug Baldwin, Jared Cook

 

Titans @ Redskins
6 Spread -6
20 Team O/U 26
59.2 Plays/Gm 63.8
70.0 Opp. Plays/Gm 63.5
41.9% Rush % 37.6%
58.1% Pass % 62.4%
45.5% Opp. Rush % 43.8%
54.5% Opp Pass % 56.2%

 

  • Since Kirk Cousins took over as starting quarterback, Washington averages only 19.8 rushing attempts per game, second to last behind Tampa Bay (19.3).
  • Tennessee has allowed 324.7 passing yards per game and eight touchdowns with every opposing quarterback topping 20 points scored over the past three weeks.
  • Cousins has 15 completions of 25 yards or more, tied for most in the league with Ben Roethlisberger.
  • Washington is averaging 3.3 turnovers per game over the past three weeks, most in the league.
  • In Cousins’ starts, DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon have each seen 31 targets
  • Over the past two weeks, Justin Hunter has played on 121 of 128 offensive snaps.
  • Kendall Wright has yet to reach 60 receiving yards in game this season.

Trust: Kirk Cousins, DeSean Jackson, Pierre Garcon, Delanie Walker

Bust: Kendall Wright, Bishop Sankey

Reasonable Return: Alfred Morris, Jordan Reed, Justin Hunter

 

Chiefs @ Chargers
4.5 Spread -4.5
20 Team O/U 24.5
63.6 Plays/Gm 66.5
61.4 Opp. Plays/Gm 57.2
46.2% Rush % 47.6%
53.8% Pass % 52.4%
43.3% Opp. Rush % 37.0%
56.7% Opp Pass % 63.0%

 

  • San Diego is allowing only 1.7 red zone trips per game, best in the league.
  • Opposing teams have run only 13 total plays inside of the Chargers’ 10-yard line, tied for fewest in the league with Minnesota.
  • Branden Oliver‘s 3.88 yards per carry were the second lowest YPC out of all 34 100-yard rushing games this season.
  • Keenan Allen has been held under 60 receiving yards in 10 of his past 14 regular season games.
  • Allen has seen double digit targets in just three of those 14 games.
  • Allen did have 19 receptions for 213 yards in his two games against the Chiefs last season.
  • Philip Rivers has thrown for multiple touchdowns in his past four games against the Chiefs.
  • Jamaal Charles has scored five times over his past six meetings with the Chargers while averaging 105 total yards.
  • The Chiefs are allowing only 3.4 catches per game to tight ends, fewest in the league.

Trust: Philip Rivers, Jamaal Charles

Bust: Antonio Gates, Dwayne Bowe, Travis Kelce

Reasonable Return: Keenan Allen, Eddie Royal, Branden Oliver, Alex Smith

 

Giants @ Cowboys
7 Spread -7
20 Team O/U 27
66.3 Plays/Gm 66.8
62.7 Opp. Plays/Gm 56.3
46.7% Rush % 49.9%
53.3% Pass % 50.1%
41.8% Opp. Rush % 39.9%
58.2% Opp Pass % 60.1%

 

  • Over the past four weeks, Tony Romo has completed 71.2 percent of his passes, best in the league.
  • Terrance Williams has scored once every 5.8 targets this season, the most frequent of any receiver.
  • Williams is being targeted on only 15.3 percent of his routes, 75th in the league.
  • Dez Bryant is being targeted on 29.8 percent of his routes, the third most in the league.
  • DeMarco Murray‘s 471 rushing yards after contact is more than every running back except Arian Foster and Le’Veon Bell have altogether.
  • The Cowboys have allowed only one top 24 PPR receiver this season and that was in week 1 (Anquan Boldin).
  • Rueben Randle ranks 15th out of all receivers in targets (49) but 50th in yards per target at 5.0.
  • Dallas is allowing 7.0 receptions per game to opposing tight ends.
  • After having six or more targets in each of his first four games, Larry Donnell has three total over the past two weeks.

Trust: Andre Williams, Larry Donnell, Dez Bryant, DeMarco Murray

Bust: Jason Witten, Rueben Randle

Reasonable Return: Tony Romo, Terrance Williams, Odell Beckham

 

Cardinals @ Raiders
-3 Spread 3
23.5 Team O/U 20.5
62.2 Plays/Gm 56.4
64.4 Opp. Plays/Gm 67.2
39.6% Rush % 32.6%
60.4% Pass % 67.4%
36.9% Opp. Rush % 53.8%
63.1% Opp Pass % 46.2%

 

  • Oakland has allowed just four sacks on the season while Arizona has just six and is 30th in sack percentage (2.96 percent) on the season.
  • 80.3 percent of the yardage gained against Arizona is passing, highest mark in the league.
  • Only 10 of the 92 rushing attempts by the Raiders this season have gained 10 yards or more, fewest in the league.
  • Oakland has run eight total plays inside of the opponent’s 10-yard line this season, tied for fewest in the NFL with Jacksonville.
  • The Cardinals are last in the NFL in red zone touchdown rate at 30.8 percent.
  • Per Pro Football Focus, Andre Ellington has forced just three missed tackles on 81 rushing attempts.
  • Michael Floyd has seven or more targets in four of five games and six or more in every game.

Trust: Andre Ellington, Michael Floyd

Bust: Darren McFadden, Maurice Jones-Drew

Reasonable Return: Carson Palmer, Larry Fitzgerald, Andre Holmes, James Jones, Derek Carr

 

49ers @ Broncos
7 Spread -7
22 Team O/U 28.5
65.3 Plays/Gm 65.8
58.8 Opp. Plays/Gm 67.6
48.9% Rush % 40.1%
51.1% Pass % 59.9%
34.8% Opp. Rush % 34.3%
65.2% Opp Pass % 65.7%

 

  • Denver has allowed only 267.7 yards of offense the past three weeks, lowest in the league.
  • The Broncos have punted on 49 percent (28 of 57) o ftheir drives, the third most in the league.
  • Julius Thomas has scored once every 3.3 targets this season.
  • Emmanuel Sanders has the most targets (48) this season without a touchdown.
  • Denver has allowed only seven runs of 10 or more yards, fewest in the league. The 49ers have 22 such runs, fifth most in the NFL.
  • Frank Gore has the second most rushing attempts (58) and third most rushing yards (264) in the league over the past three weeks.
  • Last week was only Colin Kaepernick‘s third 300- yard passing game in 29 career starts.
  • Over his past 10 regular season starts on the road, Kaepernick has thrown 17 touchdowns to four interceptions.
  • 49ers red zone carries for the season: Carlos Hyde 15, Frank Gore 11, Kaepernick 10.

Trust: Peyton Manning, Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders

Bust: Frank Gore, Ronnie Hillman, Vernon Davis

Reasonable Return: Colin Kaepernick, Michael Crabtree, Anquan Boldin, Wes Welker, Julius Thomas

 

Texans @ Steelers
3 Spread -3
21 Team O/U 24
59.0 Plays/Gm 67.7
69.8 Opp. Plays/Gm 59.2
51.7% Rush % 41.4%
48.3% Pass % 58.6%
41.3% Opp. Rush % 41.9%
58.7% Opp Pass % 58.1%

 

  • Houston leads the league in takeaways per game at 2.3.
  • Le’Veon Bell hasn’t scored in his past 121 touches, the longest streak of touches without a touchdown.
  • Bell is the only player besides DeMarco Murray to have 100 yards from scrimmage in every game this season.
  • Ben Roethlisberger has finished in the top half of weekly quarterback scoring in only two of six games so far this season.
  • Antonio Brown has seen 10 or more targets in every game over the past five weeks and has topped 80 receiving yards in his past eight games dating back to last season.
  • The Steelers have allowed multiple passing touchdowns in only two games so far.
  • Andre Johnson‘s target share each week: 40.9, 36.8, 32.3, 18.9, 32.0 and 52.2 percent.
  • DeAndre Hopkins‘ target share each week: 22.7, 26.3, 26.5, 16.2, 24.0 and 8.7 percent.

Trust: Antonio Brown, Le’Veon Bell, Arian Foster

Bust: Ryan Fitzpatrick, DeAndre Hopkins, Heath Miller, Markus Wheaton

Reasonable Return: Andre Johnson, Ben Roethlisberger

 

*Statistics provided by ProFootballFocus, Pro-Football-Reference, NFLData.com. All Vegas Lines Provided by 5Dimes

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