Green Bay Packers at Miami Dolphins (+3.5)*
Few teams have looked as dominant as the Packers over their last two games: 2-0, both wins in their division, and outscoring opponents by a combined 53 points. Green Bay currently looks like an unstoppable force hitting their stride at the right time, but the back-to-back massive wins could lead to a letdown in Miami on Sunday.
Despite an overall record of 22-14-1 since the start of 2012, the Packers are a lackluster 9-10 away from Lambeau Field. The Dolphins, average in their own right with a 2-2 overall record, are 10-8 at home in the same timeframe, and are 1-1 following a bye under head coach Joe Philbin. Their loss was only by two points – a field goal in the final minute of play.
The Dolphins have yet to define the direction of their season, with wins coming against the Patriots and Raiders but losses in Buffalo and against Kansas City. The Packers made their necessary moves in the past two games, and it will be nearly impossible to match the level of urgency they faced during their three-game NFC North blitz. There is too much at stake for the Dolphins on Sunday.
Miami, yet to play a one-possession game all season, catches the Packers asleep at the wheel and pulls off the four-point upset on the legs of running back Lamar Miller, beating the spread, as well.