Fantasy Football Week 6 Worksheet

Joe Flacco

Hopefully most of you are only a few wins away from sewing up a playoff spot, but if not, let’s run through the Week 6 slate bullet point style and get those teams to .500 or better.

 

Colts @ Texans
-2.5 Spread 2.5
24 Team O/U 22
75.6 Plays/Gm 60.4
58.6 Opp. Plays/Gm 67.4
40.2% Rush % 52.7%
59.8% Pass % 47.3%
37.9% Opp. Rush % 40.9%
62.1% Opp Pass % 59.1%

 

  • Andrew Luck has finished all five weeks as a top nine scoring quarterback. He had only four such weeks all of 2013.
  • Ahmad Bradshaw and Trent Richardson each have 16 red zone touches, yet Bradshaw has 43 more yards and three more touchdowns on his touches.
  • Over the first five weeks, T.Y. Hilton has 10 or more targets in four games with five or more receptions in every game and has more targets (50) on the season than Reggie Wayne (45).
  • In four career games against the Texans, Hilton has scored five times and topped 70 receiving yards in each game.
  • Dwayne Allen‘s 2.97 PPR points per target are second behind Julius Thomas for all tight ends with 20 or more targets.
  • The Colts lead the league in time of possession at 36:23 per game and opponents are running just 58.6 plays per game (5th fewest) facing them.
  • Houston attempts the fewest passes per game at 27.6.
  • Five of Andre Johnson‘s past 11 touchdowns have come against the Colts.
  • The highest scoring week Johnson has had thus far has been WR23 in PPR leagues.
  • Johnson ranks 15th at wide receiver in targets (42), but is 46th in points per targets. DeAndre Hopkins ranks 36th in targets (31) and is 5th in points per target.

Trust: Arian Foster, Andrew Luck, T.Y. Hilton

Bust: Ryan Fitzpatrick, Garrett Graham, Coby Fleener, Trent Richardson

Reasonable Return: Reggie Wayne, Dwayne Allen, Ahmad Bradshaw, Andre Johnson, DeAndre Hopkins

 

Ravens @ Buccaneers
-3 Spread 3
23 Team O/U 20
66.4 Plays/Gm 56.4
63.6 Opp. Plays/Gm 70.4
40.4% Rush % 37.6%
59.6% Pass % 62.4%
40.9% Opp. Rush % 43.8%
59.1% Opp Pass % 56.2%

 

  • Justin Forsett leads all running backs with at least 50 carries in rushing points per attempt at 0.95.
  • Steve Smith scored in just two of his past 14 games against Tampa Bay while with Carolina.
  • Since the start of last season, the Buccaneers average 20.8 points per game in the 15 games started by Mike Glennon, 13.2 in the other six weeks.
  • Vincent Jackson‘s 144 receiving yards last week were 10 more than he had in the first four weeks combined.
  • Jackson averages 10.1 targets in Glennon’s starts.
  • Louis Murphy has been targeted once every 3.7 routes the past two weeks.
  • Doug Martin has just two touchdowns on his past 182 touches.

Trust: Joe Flacco

Bust: Doug Martin, Mike Glennon, Louis Murphy

Reasonable Return: Justin Forsett, Owen Daniels, Torrey Smith, Steve Smith, Vincent Jackson

 

Patriots @ Bills
-3 Spread 3
23.5 Team O/U 21
68.2 Plays/Gm 63.2
60.4 Opp. Plays/Gm 65.2
44.3% Rush % 42.1%
55.7% Pass % 57.9%
44.7% Opp. Rush % 36.2%
55.3% Opp Pass % 63.8%

 

  • Rob Gronkowski has scored at least once in all six career games against the Bills with nine touchdowns total against Buffalo.
  • Gronkowski is being targeted on 34 percent of his routes, most in the NFL.
  • Tom Brady has 54 passing touchdowns in 24 games versus Buffalo, the most touchdowns he’s thrown versus any team.
  • Stevan Ridley leads the league in touch percentage of snaps at 53.4.
  • Buffalo allows only 0.30 rushing points per carry, best in the NFL.
  • The longest run against the Bills this seaosn has been 16 yards.
  • The Bills are last in the league at 1.4 offensive touchdowns per game.
  • The Bills have allowed a touchdown on 12 percent of opponent’s drives, fewest in the league.
  • Since the start of last season, C.J. Spiller has scored once every 103 touches while Fred Jackson has scored once every 29.3 touches.

Trust: Rob Gronkowski, Julian Edelman, Fred Jackson

Bust: Sammy Watkins, Stevan Ridley

Reasonable Return: Tom Brady, C.J. Spiller, Shane Vereen

 

Steelers @ Browns
1 Spread -1
22.5 Team O/U 24.5
66.0 Plays/Gm 66.2
59.8 Opp. Plays/Gm 66.2
41.2% Rush % 47.6%
58.8% Pass % 52.4%
37.1% Opp. Rush % 44.9%
62.9% Opp Pass % 55.1%

 

  • In Ben Tate‘s first game back, he played 51 snaps, Isaiah Crowell 15 and Terrance West 11. Tate had four of the five carries in the red zone.
  • Tate has gained five or more yards on 16 of his 28 carries this season.
  • In week 1, the Browns ran 191 yards, the most rushing yards they’ve had against the Steelers since 1972 (219 yards).
  • Andrew Hawkins‘ 1.25 PPR points per target ranks 50th out of the top 50 scoring receivers.
  • Jordan Cameron‘s 1.09 PPR points per target ranks 47th out of the top 50 scoring tight ends.
  • The Steelers are the only team yet to allow a top 12 scoring quarterback in a given week.
  • Pittsburgh is second in the NFL nn pass attempts inside the red zone (35) but ranks 28th in touchdown conversion rate on those attempts (14.3 percent).

Trust: Ben Tate, Antonio Brown, Le’Veon Bell

Bust: Andrew Hawkins, Heath Miller

Reasonable Return: Ben Roethlisberger, Markus Wheaton, Jordan Cameron, Brian Hoyer

 

Panthers @ Bengals
8.5 Spread -8.5
19 Team O/U 26
62.2 Plays/Gm 59.5
62.6 Opp. Plays/Gm 74.0
38.6% Rush % 50.4%
61.4% Pass % 49.6%
38.7% Opp. Rush % 38.2%
61.3% Opp Pass % 61.8%

 

  • The Bengals are allowing 251 passing yards per game (13th highest), but a league low 6.0 yards per pass attempt.
  • Cincinnati allows only 1.5 red zone attempts per game, fewest in the NFL.
  • Andy Dalton ranks 5th in passing points per attempt, but ranks 28th in overall attempts and is on pace for only 432 pass attempts this season. His career low is 516 attempts as a rookie.
  • Gio Bernard leads the league in carries inside of the 10-yard line this season with 11.
  • Over the his past three games, Mohamed Sanu’s PPR finishes are PPRWR10, WR30 and WR13.
  • In the past two games, Sanu had 29.8 percent of the team targets.
  • Darrin Reaves played 69.7 percent of the snaps last week but had a touch on only 26.1 percent of his snaps.
  • Cam Newton has finished in the top half of weekly quarterback scoring once in his four starts.
  • Newton is averaging just 10.5 yards rushing per game. His career average coming into the season was 42.3 rushing yards per game.

Trust: Greg Olsen

Bust:  Andy Dalton, Cam Newton, Kelvin Benjamin, Darrin Reaves

Reasonable Return: Gio Bernard, Jeremy Hill, Mohamed Sanu

 

Lions @ Vikings
-1.5 Spread 1.5
22.8 Team O/U 21.3
65.8 Plays/Gm 64.2
60.0 Opp. Plays/Gm 61.2
40.4% Rush % 44.2%
59.6% Pass % 55.8%
39.0% Opp. Rush % 46.1%
61.0% Opp Pass % 53.9%

 

  • Detroit has scored on just 26 percent of their offensive drives, 30th in the league.
  • The Lions average only 2.2 red zone trips per game, 29th in the NFL.
  • With Calvin Johnson hobbled, Tate has 29 percent of the Detroit passing targets over the past two weeks.
  • Golden Tate is now averaging 11.3 yards per target, the highest mark for any receiver with at least 40 targets.
  • Matthew Stafford is being sacked 8.7 percent of passing plays, the second most in the league.
  • In the two games that Reggie Bush missed in 2013, Joique Bell scored 43.9 PPR points with over 20 in each game.
  • Matt Asiata‘s lone career 100-yard rushing game versus the Lions in week 17 last season.
  • Jerick McKinnon and Cordarrelle Patterson each have a 100-yard rushing game this season. Matt Asiata’s season high rushing is 78 yards.

Trust: Golden Tate

Bust: Matt Asiata, Cordarelle Patterson, Teddy Bridgewater

Reasonable Return: Matt Stafford, Eric Ebron, Reggie Bush, Joique Bell, Greg Jennings

 

Broncos @ Jets
-10 Spread 10
28 Team O/U 19.5
65.2 Plays/Gm 64.8
69.0 Opp. Plays/Gm 63.2
37.9% Rush % 44.8%
62.1% Pass % 55.2%
36.6% Opp. Rush % 39.6%
63.4% Opp Pass % 60.4%

 

  • Julius Thomas leads the NFL with seven receiving touchdowns on only 24 targets.
  • The Jets have allowed five touchdowns to tight ends over the past three games.
  • Emmanuel Sanders has the most receptions (32) in the league without one being a touchdown.
  • 80 percent of the offensive yards gained by Denver this season have been passing, the highest dependency in the league.
  • The Jets are allowing 0.54 passing points per attempt to quarterbacks, second most in the league behind Jacksonville, and have allowed multiple touchdown passes now in every game this season.
  • The Jets have turned the ball over in every game this season and multiple times in four of five.
  • There have been two games over the past two years in which the starting quarterback threw double digit passes, yet failed to reach 30 passing yards. Both belong to Geno Smith.
  • New York averages just 12.0 points per game over the past three weeks, fewest in the league.

Trust: The entire Denver passing game

Bust: Geno Smith, Ronnie Hillman

Reasonable Return: Chris Ivory, Chris Johnson, Eric Decker

 

Packers @ Dolphins
-3 Spread 3
26 Team O/U 23
55.0 Plays/Gm 69.5
72.6 Opp. Plays/Gm 68.5
40.4% Rush % 41.0%
59.6% Pass % 59.0%
49.0% Opp. Rush % 40.9%
51.0% Opp Pass % 59.1%

 

  • Ryan Tannehill‘s 5.8 yards per attempt rank only above Derek Carr (5.5) out of all starting quarterbacks.
  • Mike Wallace is being targeted on 25.6 percent of his routes compared to Brian Hartline at 17.8 percent. Last season, it was nearly dead even with Wallace at 21.2 percent and Hartline at 20.4 percent.
  • Lamar Miller is averaging 0.81 rushing points per attempt, which is the second best fantasy efficiency mark per carry of any back with 40 or more attempts (Justin Forsett).
  • Green Bay has scored a touchdown on 33 percent of their drives, most in the league.
  • The Packers are allowing only 0.28 points per passing attempt to opposing quarterbacks, second lowest in the league (Cincinnati) .
  • Over the past three weeks, the Packers are 3rd in points per game allowed (15.3), 6th in sack percentage (7.4 percent) , 7th in opponent completion percentage (59.3 percent) and 3rd in takeaways per game (2.7).

Trust: Lamar Miller, Aaron Rodgers, Jordy Nelson

Bust: Ryan Tannehill, Charles Clay, Eddie Lacy

Reasonable Return: Mike Wallace, Randall Cobb

 

Jaguars @ Titans
6 Spread -6
19 Team O/U 25
58.2 Plays/Gm 60.0
73.2 Opp. Plays/Gm 69.0
32.7% Rush % 41.7%
67.3% Pass % 58.3%
41.3% Opp. Rush % 48.7%
58.7% Opp Pass % 51.3%

 

  • Delanie Walker ranks 5th in total targets (36) and 4th in receptions (26) out of all tight ends and is 5th in fantasy points per target of all tight ends with 20 or more targets.
  • The Jags have allowed a tight end to score in four of their five games this season and have allowed 90 or more receiving yards to opposing tight ends three times.
  • Justin Hunter played 97 percent of the snaps last week, the highest of his career.
  • Tennessee averages 6.4 plays per game in the red zone, 30th in the NFL.
  • The Jaguars have won only six of their past 31 games, but have won two of their past four versus the Titans.
  • Allen Robinson has been targeted on 25.2 percent of his routes, which leads all Jacksonville receivers.
  • Jacksonville averages 3.8 plays per game in the red zone, last in the NFL.
  • Opponents have scored on 50 percent of their drives facing Jacksonville, most in the league.

Trust: Kendall Wright, Justin Hunter, Delanie Walker

Bust: Blake Bortles, Toby Gerhart, Allen Hurns

Reasonable Return: Charlie Whitehurst, Bishop Sankey, Shonn Greene, Allen Robinson

 

Chargers @ Raiders
-8 Spread 8
25 Team O/U 18
66.0 Plays/Gm 57.0
57.8 Opp. Plays/Gm 66.8
47.6% Rush % 31.6%
52.4% Pass % 68.4%
37.0% Opp. Rush % 55.1%
63.0% Opp Pass % 44.9%

 

  • The Raiders have scored on just 21 percent of their drives, last in the league. Teams facing San Diego have scored on just 20 percent of their drives, lowest in the league.
  • Andre Holmes is being targeted on 24 percent of his routes, which leads the Raiders.
  • Oakland averages 4.3 plays per game that gain 10 or more yards, lowest amount in the league.
  • Oakland is allowing 158.2 rushing yards per game (31st) and seeing 36.8 rushing attempts (32nd) per game.
  • The Raiders are allowing opposing passers to complete 72.4 percent of their passes, highest mark in the league.
  • Philip Rivers leads all quarterbacks with a 70.3 completion percentage.
  • San Diego target percentage on routes so far this season has been even at the top: Keenan Allen (20.5 percent), Eddie Royal (20.3) and Antonio Gates (19.1).
  • Keenan Allen has finished higher than PPR WR35 just once through five games.
  • Malcom Floyd is first in PPR PT/TGT for those who qualify, but is being targeted on only 10.4% of his routes, below Cole Beasley.

Trust: Branden Oliver, Philip Rivers

Bust: Maurice Jones-Drew, Darren McFadden, Derek Carr

Reasonable Return: Antonio Gates, Keenan Allen, Eddie Royal, Andre Holmes, James Jones

 

Bears @ Falcons
3 Spread -3
25 Team O/U 28.5
64.6 Plays/Gm 66.0
60.8 Opp. Plays/Gm 66.2
36.8% Rush % 37.3%
63.2% Pass % 62.7%
43.1% Opp. Rush % 50.5%
56.9% Opp Pass % 49.5%

 

  • Matt Forte‘s 71.9 PPR receiving points would make him the 18th highest scoring receiver this season.
  • Forte has played 91.8 percent of the offensive snaps, the highest percentage for any running back.
  • Atlanta is allowing 147.6 rushing yards per game, 0.78 rushing points per carry (highest in the league) and has allowed a league leading 10 rushing touchdowns.
  • The Falcons are allowing 26.4 fantasy points per game from rushing alone.
  • Jay Cutler‘s average weekly finish under Marc Trestman is QB11.7.
  • Chicago has been the league’s past heaviest team in the red zone at 72.1 percent of offensive plays.
  • In the games in which both have been active, Julio Jones has out targeted Roddy White 46 to 33 while catching 70.2 percent of those looks compared to the 48.5 percent by White.
  • Jones has six receptions and 80 yards receiving in nine consecutive games played dating back to last season.
  • Opponents have punted on just 27 percent of their drives against Chicago, fewest in the league.
  • Antone Smith is averaging a touchdown once every 4.3 touches.

Trust: Julio Jones, Matt Ryan, Roddy White, Matt Forte, Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffery, Jay Cutler

Bust: Antone Smith, Devonta Freeman

Reasonable Return: Steven Jackson, Martellus Bennett

 

Redskins @ Cardinals
 N/A Spread  N/A
 N/A Team O/U  N/A
65.2 Plays/Gm 60.8
62.6 Opp. Plays/Gm 66.2
39.0% Rush % 41.2%
61.0% Pass % 58.8%
46.0% Opp. Rush % 38.5%
54.0% Opp Pass % 61.5%

 

  • Arizona is averaging a league low 273 yards of total offense per game since Carson Palmer‘s injury.
  • Not one Cardinal receiver ranks inside the top 50 in PPR scoring through five weeks.
  • John Brown is the only Arizona receiver to have a week inside of the top 20 PPR scorers so far this season.
  • Larry Fitzgerald is averaging less than one PPR point (0.98) per target.
  • Arizona is the only team yet to throw an interception.
  • Alfred Morris has finished outside of the top 30 scorers in three of the first five weeks.
  • Only 20.2 percent of the yards gained against Arizona have been rushing, second best in the league (Seattle).

Trust: DeSean Jackson

Bust: Alfred Morris, Pierre Garcon

Reasonable Return: Andre Ellington, Michael Floyd, Larry Fitzgerald, Kirk Cousins, Niles Paul

Cowboys @ Seahawks
9.5 Spread -9.5
19.5 Team O/U 27.5
66.2 Plays/Gm 61.0
58.0 Opp. Plays/Gm 64.0
49.2% Rush % 50.4%
50.8% Pass % 49.6%
40.3% Opp. Rush % 37.1%
59.7% Opp Pass % 62.9%

 

  • Jason Witten is one of only two tight ends (Jared Cook) with 25 or more targets yet to score a touchdown on the season.
  • Witten is the only tight end to have participated in 100 percent of his teams offensive snaps.
  • Terrance Williams is scoring a touchdown once every 5.4 targets to start the year, fewest for all receivers.
  • 3 percent of Williams’ PPR points have come from touchdowns, the second highest percentage of all receivers (Brandon Marshall).
  • Tony Romo has posted his first back to back top 10 scoring weeks since weeks 8-9 of last season.
  • The Seahawks have allowed multiple passing touchdowns for three consecutive games for the first time since 2010.
  • Dallas is allowing 6.4 yards per play, last in the NFL.
  • Marshawn Lynch has scored on 8.3 percent of his touches, the most of all backs with 35 plus touches.
  • Per Pro Football Focus, Percy Harvin‘s 3.5 average depth of target (aDot) is two full yards fewer than the next lowest receiver (Brandin Cooks at 5.6 yards).

Trust: Mashawn Lynch, Russell Wilson, DeMarco Murray, Dez Bryant

Bust: Jason Witten, Terrance Williams

Reasonable Return: Tony Romo, Percy Harvin

 

Giants @ Eagles
2.5 Spread -2.5
24 Team O/U 26
67.8 Plays/Gm 68.2
61.0 Opp. Plays/Gm 74.2
48.1% Rush % 38.4%
51.9% Pass % 61.6%
39.7% Opp. Rush % 42.1%
60.3% Opp Pass % 57.9%

 

  • Over the past month, Rueben Randle has totaled 21 receptions and 37 targets (27.2 percent of the team total), both team highs.
  • Randle ranks 50th in the league in yards per target at 4.7.
  • Andre Williams has four receptions so far this season, matching his career high while at Boston College.
  • Eli Manning has completed 66.3 percent of passes this season. His career high is 62.9 percent from 2010.
  • Manning has thrown multiple touchdowns in four consecutive games for the first time since 2011.
  • Quarterbacks are averaging 22.1 points per game and a weekly finish of QB6.6 against the Eagles so far this season.
  • Philadelphia allows 2.6 passing touchdowns per game, most in the league.
  • Philadelphia is last in the NFL in time of possession at 24:53 and opponents are running a league high 74.2 plays per game against them this season.
  • The Eagles average 2:00 minutes per possession, lowest in the league.
  • Nick Foles led the NFL in yards per attempt at 9.1 in 2013, he currently ranks 29th at 6.8 yards per attempt.
  • Over the first two weeks, Darren Sproles had 263 total yards on 26 touches. Over the past three games, he has 18 touches for 107 total yards.

Trust: Eli Manning, Andre Williams, LeSean McCoy

Bust: Riley Cooper, Larry Donnell, Darren Sproles

Reasonable Return: Rueben Randle, Odell Beckham, Jeremy Maclin, Nick Foles

 

49ers @ Rams
-3 Spread 3
23.5 Team O/U 20
65.2 Plays/Gm 67.8
56.4 Opp. Plays/Gm 57.8
49.7% Rush % 38.4%
50.3% Pass % 61.6%
34.8% Opp. Rush % 53.7%
65.2% Opp Pass % 46.3%

 

  • Austin Davis averages more passing points per attempt than Matt Stafford, Drew Brees and Nick Foles.
  • The Rams have allowed 21 runs of 10 or more yards, tied for most in the league.
  • The 49ers have 20 runs of 10 or more yards, tied for the 3rd most in the league.
  • Teams average only 19.6 rushing attempts per game against San Francisco, fewest in the league.
  • Brian Quick has scored on 9.7 percent of his targets, 8th best out of all receivers.
  • Quick is one of only three receivers to be a top 30 PPR WR in every game played, the others are Julio Jones and Antonio Brown.
  • Quick is third in PPR points per target (2.30) out of all receivers with 30 or more targets.
  • The Rams have turned the ball over on 21 percent of their drives, most in the league, while the 49ers have forced a turnover on 21 percent of opponent’s drives, most in the league.
  • Louis had the second best sack percentage at 9.2 percent in 2013, but are currently dead last at 0.9 percent through their first four games.
  • Frank Gore has rushed for 100 or more yards in back to back games for the first time since 2011.
  • San Francisco averages the fewest offensive possessions in the league at 9.6 per game, but run the most plays per drive at 6.9.

Trust: Frank Gore, Anquan Boldin

Bust: Vernon Davis, Zac Stacy

Reasonable Return: Austin Davis, Brian Quick, Kenny Britt, Colin Kaepernick, Michael Crabtree

 

*Statistics provided by ProFootballFocus, Pro-Football-Reference, NFLData.com. All Vegas Lines Provided by 5Dimes

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Rich Hribar
Rich Hribar is a husband, father, sports meteorologist and a slave to statistics. A lifelong sports fan and fantasy gamer. !function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=/^http:/.test(d.location)?'http':'https';if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+'://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js';fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document, 'script', 'twitter-wjs');

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