Week 6 begins tonight with the Indianapolis Colts taking on the Houston Texans. Thursday Night Football has been a blowout every week, but that is good news in DFS. Be sure to get your early lineups in.
XN Sports will present values and picks for DraftKings each and every week throughout the season for all your daily fantasy needs. Check out all the contests at DraftKings here, and be sure to enter the Week 6 freerolls right away.
If you have not played on DraftKings yet, be sure to make your first deposit which will earn you a free spot in a paid tournament. Why play DraftKings? In addition to being one of the most aesthetically-pleasing websites on the internet, DraftKings offers user-friendly scoring and rules which can be found in full here. In addition, there is no kicker so any of those six field goal days will not ruin your weekend.
The details of this week’s contest:
Contest Details
-DraftKings Week 6 Millionaire Maker
-Turn $27 into $1,000,000
-$2,200,000 in Total Prizes
-$1,000,000 First Place prize
-Just $27 to enter – That’s a possible return of over 37,000 times the entry fee!
-Here’s the deal: You pay a couple hundred bucks, play an entire season of fantasy football, and hope to win a few thousand dollars at the end of it all. But here, you can pay $27, draft a team, watch one week of football and come out the other side with $1,000,000. It’s a no-brainer. It will happen to someone, and that could be you. DraftKings gave away a million last week, now it’s your turn to win it.
Without further ado, Week 6 values and picks.
Value Plays
Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks $7,600
A value play at $7,600?! Yes, that is exactly what Wilson is this week, and has been this year. Looking at it vaguely, Wilson is averaging the third-most fantasy points on DraftKings at the quarterback position with 24.4 points. The only two above him are Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck. Wilson’s price is nearly $2,000 cheaper than Manning, and $1,400 cheaper than Luck. That extra cash can be used to upgrade the rest of your roster, which is the exact meaning of value in daily fantasy football.
In addition to just the value of his price and average fantasy points per game, Wilson has an excellent matchup this week against the Cowboys. On the surface, Dallas is allowing just the 15th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, but dig a little deeper. This season, the Cowboys have faced Colin Kaepernick, Jake Locker, Austin Davis, Drew Brees, and Ryan Fitzpatrick. Of those five, only Davis and Brees threw the ball more than 34 times, and the two combined for 667 yards and five touchdowns. The other three quarterbacks combined for just 82 passing attempts in three games.
While the Cowboys defense has been a lot better than most expected, that defense is still a great matchup for Wilson, who has 140 attempts at fantasy points this season (111 passes and 29 rushes) for a total of 98 fantasy points. That is an average of 0.7 fantasy points per attempt on 35 attempts per game. As aforementioned, when the Cowboys allowed opposing quarterbacks to attempt 35 passes or more this season, they allowed 667 yards and five touchdowns through the air. That doesn’t even count what Wilson could do on the ground.
Brandon Marshall, Chicago Bears $6,300
Marshall may be owned by most players on DraftKings this weekend, which does not make his value as high as it could be. But, at his price it is bad practice not to consider him for your lineup. The other receivers at $6,300 or just below are Golden Tate, Steve Smith, and Mike Wallace. That in itself would draw more attention to Marshall, but consider more than that. DraftKings is a full PPR scoring system, and Marshall has caught 218 passes in the previous two years, and has not gone under 1000 yards since his rookie year. What does that have to do with just this week, as we are playing in a weekly league? Marshall will need to get back on track, and the Falcons are the perfect matchup for the Bears’ star.
This season, Atlanta has allowed the ninth-most passing yards per game in the NFL this year and 21 completions per game. With the Bears throwing the ball almost 40 times a game, that number should increase and Marshall will be the beneficiary. He has caught over 25% of the Bears completions in the last two years, which would lead him to around 10 catches in a normally distributed game. At his price, a chance at double-digit catches is a value.
Lineup
QB – Russell Wilson $7,600
RB – Bishop Sankey $3,500
RB – Ronnie Hillman $3,000
WR – Julio Jones $8,400
WR – Demaryius Thomas $8,000
WR – Antonio Brown $7,900
TE – Jordan Reed $3,200
FLEX – Brandon Marshall $6,300
DST – Jets $2,300
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