Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars (+6.5)
What started out as a potential upset in the making for the Jaguars — leading 14-10 late in the first half — quickly turned into a 33-14 blowout at the hands of the Chargers on Sunday. The Steelers dropped one of the two biggest upsets of the week at the hands of the Buccaneers and travel to Jacksonville thirsty for a victory.
Pittsburgh is, in every way, the better team in this game. But again, the fact that the Jaguars are 0-4 against the spread this year (all of which they have been getting at least six points) provides a perfect setup for a rebound. In addition, Jaguars quarterback Blake Bortles provides a new look for the team’s offense, and could surprise the Pittsburgh defense who have declined each of the past three seasons (1st, 13th, now 18th in points allowed).
Jacksonville has done enough harm to warrant caution, so they won’t receive the confidence pick, but they should beat the spread at home on Sunday, losing to the Steelers by a field goal.