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Fantasy Football Week 2 Worksheet

Rich Hribar breaks down every game in the NFL to find the best fantasy football matchups.

Antonio Brown




Fantasy Football Week 2 Worksheet:

Steelers @ Ravens
2.5 Spread -2.5
21 Team O/U 23
67 Plays/Gm 85
64 Opp. Plays/Gm 64
41.8% Rush % 23.5%
59.2% Pass % 76.5%
46.9% Opp. Rush % 40.6%
53.1% Opp Pass % 59.4%

 

  • The last time a team scored 24 points in this rivalry was week one 2011, when Baltimore won 35-7 and the combined average score in the past 12 meetings has been 36 total points.
  • Torrey Smith has topped 75 yards receiving only once in six meetings with the Steelers with two total touchdowns.
  • Steve Smith lead the NFL in targets week one with 15. His season high in 2013 was 11 and had double digits only four times.
  • Joe Flacco posted a nearly identical line to his week one performance in 2013. In that game he went 34 of 62 for 362 yards with two touchdowns and interceptions. This past Sunday he went 35 of 62 for 345 yards and one touchdown and interception. In his follow-up in 2013, he completed 22 of 33 passes for 211 yards and one score.
  • Flacco has thrown multiple touchdowns in only two of his 12 meetings versus the Steelers.
  • Pittsburgh is coming off a week in which they allowed 183 yards rushing, 121 of which came after holding a 24 point lead to a Browns team that runs the same rushing system as the Ravens.
  • Baltimore allowed six receptions to Gio Bernard week one while Le’Veon Bell grabbed six of seven targets for 88 yards week one. In their two meetings versus Baltimore in 2013, Bell caught eight of ten targets and had 99 and 136 total yards in each game.
  • Bell has rushed for at least 50 yards in seven consecutive games, the longest active streak in the league and ten straight games with at least 80 yards from scrimmage, also the longest active streak.

Trust: Le’Veon Bell, Antonio Brown

Bust: Joe Flacco, Markus Wheaton, Heath Miller, Bernard Pierce

Reasonable Return: Ben Roethlisberger, Dennis Pitta, Torrey Smith, Steve Smith, Justin Forsett

 

Dolphins @ Bills
0 Spread 0
21.5 Team O/U 21.5
71 Plays/Gm 56
71 Opp. Plays/Gm 69
53.5% Rush % 58.9%
46.5% Pass % 41.1%
25.0% Opp. Rush % 26.1%
75.0% Opp Pass % 73.9%

 

  • Mike Wallace had 11 targets in week one and now has nine or more targets in six of his past seven games dating back to last year.
  • Per Pro Football Focus, Leodis McKelvin allowed 10 receptions and 139 yards in coverage, the most in both categories week one.
  • Charles Clay totaled five receptions for 39 yards and one touchdown in both games against the Bills in 2013, but without Kiko Alonso, Buffalo struggled covering the middle of the field. Martellus Bennett caught eight of 10 targets for 70 yards and a touchdown.
  • Ryan Tannehill has never thrown for 200 yards in two games against the Bills and has a 47.9 completion percentage in those games, his worst against any opponent.
  • J. Spiller has reached four receptions in a game just once over his past 14 games and has only five rushing touchdowns over his past 30 games played.
  • Fred Jackson played on only 24 snaps week 1, his fewest since week 1 of 2013 when he played only 26 snaps.
  • Jackson had just 10 total touches after averaging 15.8 per game in 2013.

Trust: Mike Wallace, Charles Clay

Bust: E.J. Manuel, Sammy Watkins, Robert Woods, Lamar Miller, Fred Jackson

Reasonable Return: Ryan Tannehill, Knowshon Moreno, C.J. Spiller

 

Saints @ Browns
-7 Spread 7
27.5 Team O/U 20
70 Plays/Gm 64
69 Opp. Plays/Gm 67
40.0% Rush % 46.9%
60.0% Pass % 53.1%
36.2% Opp. Rush % 41.8%
63.8% Opp Pass % 58.2%

 

  • Drew Brees has 17 touchdown passes to 17 interceptions over his past 17 road games and hasn’t thrown more than two touchdowns on the road since week 15 in 2012.
  • The Saints have just a 4-7 record on the road over their past 11 games including the postseason. In those games they’ve allowed an average of 23.9 points, 348.8 total yards and 128.4 rushing yards per game.
  • Cleveland ran for 183 yards last week, their most since week 9 of 2010 when they ran for 230 yards. They reached 100 yards rushing only four times in 2013 with a high of 126.
  • Terrance West forced six missed tackles on 16 touches last week after forcing only seven on 32 touches in the preseason.
  • Isaiah Crowell was just the 14th running back to ever score two touchdowns on the ground in his first game.
  • Marques Colston over his past nine regular season games averages 5.9 receptions on 8.8 targets for 79 yards and 16.2 PPR points per game.
  • Joe Haden played only 30 total defensive snaps covering the slot in 2013 and zero in week 1.Colston ran 63 percent of his routes from the slot, most of all the Saints receivers.
  • In his first NFL game, Browns rookie cornerback Justin Gilbert surrendered six receptions and 96 yards in his coverage.
  • Brandin Cooks’ seven catches in week 1 were the most ever Saints’ receiver in his debut and the most for a receiver debut since Dez Bryant caught eight in his inaugural game in 2010.

Trust: Marques Colston, Brandin Cooks

Bust: Mark Ingram, Jordan Cameron, Khiry Robinson

Reasonable Return: Drew Brees, Jimmy Graham, Andrew Hawkins, Terrance West, Pierre Thomas

 

Falcons @ Bengals
5 Spread -5
23 Team O/U 27
69 Plays/Gm 64
70 Opp. Plays/Gm 85
36.2% Rush % 40.6%
63.8% Pass % 59.4%
40.0% Opp. Rush % 23.5%
60.0% Opp Pass % 76.5%

 

  • Since week 10 of last season, Gio Bernard has averaged 17 touches for 86 yards per game but has only two touchdowns over that span.
  • The last time Atlanta held an opponent under 100 yards rushing was week 3 of last season when they held Miami to 90 yards on the ground.
  • After totaling 131 receiving yards and a score to start the season, A.J. Green now has 50 receiving yards or a touchdown in 29 of his past 33 games.
  • Atlanta has allowed 10 receivers to reach 100 yards receiving over their past 17 games.
  • Matt Ryan averages 21.8 fantasy points per game over his past six full games with Julio Jones active with an average weekly finish of 8.6.
  • The Bengals have allowed only six quarterbacks to reach 20 fantasy points in their past 49 games.

Trust: Andy Dalton, A.J. Green, Gio Bernard, Julio Jones

Bust: Matt Ryan, Steven Jackson, Levine Toilolo

Reasonable Return: Roddy White, Jermaine Gresham

 

Lions @ Panthers
2.5 Spread -2.5
23 Team O/U 20
63 Plays/Gm 68
57 Opp. Plays/Gm 55
47.6% Rush % 48.5%
52.4% Pass % 51.5%
38.6% Opp. Rush % 30.9%
61.4% Opp Pass % 69.1%

 

  • In week 1, Matt Stafford posted his highest completion percentage (68.8 percent) and yards per attempt (10.2 yards) since week 8 of last season when he faced Dallas.
  • It was only the third time in 62 career games in which Stafford posted a yards per attempt mark of over 10 yards.
  • In the Detroit backfield, Joique Bell played 35 snaps and amassed 16 touches for 56 total yards while Reggie Bush played 31 snaps and had 15 touches for 64 yards.
  • Since the start of last season, Bell has 13 rushing attempts inside of the five-yard line, converting eight for touchdowns while Bush has only six and converted only two.
  • After allowing only 53 rushing yards to the Giants, Detroit has now held nine of their past 11 opponents under 65 yards rushing as a team.
  • Carolina allowed only 10.5 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks at home in 2013 and only six total passing touchdowns.
  • The Panthers have also only allowed three top 24 PPR receivers over their past 17 games and the last receiver to score at Carolina was Jermaine Kearse in week 1 of 2013. Tight ends had the other five passing scores.
  • Kelvin Benjamin snagged six balls for 92 yards and score, the seventh consecutive game he has scored a touchdown dating back to college. He was the first Panther rookie receiver ever to catch a touchdown in his debut.
  • Since week 11 of last season, Greg Olsen has seven or more targets in all eight games, averaging 5.8 receptions per game with four touchdowns. He doesn’t have the highest ceiling, averaging 11.6 points per week over those eight weeks.

Trust: Kelvin Benjamin, Greg Olsen

Bust: Matt Stafford, Golden Tate, Joique Bell

Reasonable Return: Calvin Johnson, Cam Newton, Reggie Bush

 

Jaguars @ Redskins
7 Spread -7
17.5 Team O/U 24.5
71 Plays/Gm 63
82 Opp. Plays/Gm 56
35.2% Rush % 36.5%
64.8% Pass % 63.5%
39.0% Opp. Rush % 58.9%
61.0% Opp Pass % 41.1%

 

  • Allen Hurns was the 11th rookie receiver to score over 20 standard points in his first game and the latest since Stephen Hill in 2012.
  • Hurns’ day deserved the press, but it was Marqise Lee who led all rookies in targets this weekend with 10.
  • Chad Henne now has thrown multiple touchdowns in five of his past six games.
  • The 20 touches for Toby Gerhart were the fourth most he’s ever had in his career, but his 57 his 2.9 yards per touch were his 50th highest mark.
  • Robert Griffin’s average weekly finish over his past 14 starts is 15.6 and has only five top 12 scoring weeks over that stretch.
  • In 2013, Alfred Morris averaged 11 carries for 45 yards in the first half of games opposed to only 6.4 carries for 32.6 yards in the second half of games as Washington trailed often. In week 1, Morris tallied 63 rushing yards before halftime before posting only 28 in the second half.
  • Pierre Garcon is tied with Antonio Brown for consecutive games with five or more receptions at 17; the record is Jimmy Smith at 21 games.

Trust: Pierre Garcon, Alfred Morris, Allen Hurns

Bust: Robert Griffin

Reasonable Return: Chad Henne, Marcedes Lewis, Toby Gerhart, DeSean Jackson, Marqise Lee

 

Cowboys @ Titans
3 Spread -3
23 Team O/U 27
63 Plays/Gm 75
54 Opp. Plays/Gm 56
36.5% Rush % 50.7%
63.5% Pass % 49.3%
55.6% Opp. Rush % 30.4%
44.4% Opp Pass % 69.6%

 

  • Since his QB1 performance week 5 versus Denver in 2013, Tony Romo has finished inside the top 10 in weekly scoring only once and averages a weekly finish of 17.1. His 14.4 fantasy points per game over those 11 weeks would average out to the average QB17 yearly.
  • Per Pro Football Focus, Brandon Carr allowed 936 yards in coverage in 2013, which was the fourth most of any corner. In week 1, he allowed 96 yards in coverage.
  • Jake Locker now has four games with 15 or more fantasy points in his past seven starts and Dallas quarterbacks have allowed 21.7 fantasy points per game since the start of last season as well as eight of the past ten to reach 15 points.
  • Some ambiguity amongst the Titans skill players, as Shonn Greene (40 percent), Dexter McCluster (24 percent), Leon Washington (22 percent) and Bishop Sankey (13 percent) all played snaps.
  • For the receivers, Nate Washington led the way at 95 percent of offensive plays, Kendall Wright at 79 percent and Justin Hunter at 63 percent.
  • Despite playing the fewest amount of snaps, Hunter led the team in targets (9) and yards (63).

Trust: Dez Bryant, Jason Witten, Jake Locker, Kendall Wright, Justin Hunter, DeMarco Murray

Bust: Delanie Walker, Lance Dunbar, Bishop Sankey

Reasonable Return: Tony Romo, Shonn Greene, Nate Washington

 

Patriots @ Vikings
-3 Spread 3
26 Team O/U 23
63.3 Plays/Gm 60.5
70.8 Opp. Plays/Gm 63.4
25.0% Rush % 53.8%
75.0% Pass % 46.2%
53.5% Opp. Rush % 34.9%
46.5% Opp Pass % 65.1%

 

  • Only nine months removed from ACL surgery, Gronk returned with four catches for 40 yards and a score on 11 targets. He only participated on 44 percent of the Patriots offensive plays.
  • With his touchdown, Gronk now has 17 touchdowns in his past 20 games played.
  • Shane Vereen has five or more targets now in eight of his past nine games.
  • Over those nine games, Vereen averages 11.4 touches for 78.4 total yards and 16.9 PPR points.
  • Julian Edelman now has seven consecutive games with six or more receptions.
  • In two of his three starts facing a Mike Zimmer defense, Tom Brady has been held to single digit fantasy points and failed to throw a touchdown.
  • Over his past six games, Greg Jennings averages 6.3 receptions, 8.5 targets, 70.5 yards receiving and 16.3 PPR points per game, which are fringe WR1/high end WR2 numbers over the course of 16 weeks.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson now has scored a touchdown in six consecutive games, the longest active streak in the league. He also has three straight games with 50 or more rushing yards, which is a record for a wide receiver.
  • Despite the touchdowns and rushing numbers, Patterson has only three game with over 35 receiving yards through his first 17 games.

Trust: Rob Gronkowski, Shane Vereen, Adrian Peterson

Bust: Kyle Rudolph, Stevan Ridley, Kenbrell Thompkins

Reasonable Return: Tom Brady, Julian Edelman, Greg Jennings, Cordarrelle Patterson

 

Cardinals @ Giants
-2.5 Spread 2.5
23 Team O/U 20
62.6 Plays/Gm 63.8
64.3 Opp. Plays/Gm 65.5
40.0% Rush % 38.6%
60.0% Pass % 61.4%
40.0% Opp. Rush % 47.6%
60.0% Opp Pass % 52.4%

 

  • The four targets Larry Fitzgerald saw week one were the fewest he’s had in a game since week 16 of 2010.
  • Carson Palmer’s 29 rushing yards last week bested his career high in a game of 23 from 2008.
  • Over his past eight games, palmer has averaged 303 passing yards and 17.1 fantasy points.
  • Arizona has allowed only one 100 yard rusher and only three running backs to post 75 yards from scrimmage over their past 17 games.
  • Victor Cruz hasn’t scored a touchdown now in 11 consecutive games played.
  • Eli Manning has now thrown multiple interceptions in 23 of his past 49 games played.
  • Last week was the 12 consecutive game in which Manning failed to post 15 fantasy points.

Trust: Michael Floyd, Larry Fitzgerald, Carson Palmer

Bust: Eli Manning, Victor Cruz, Larry Donnell, Rueben Randle, Andre Williams

Reasonable Return: Rashad Jennings, Andre Ellington

 

Seahawks @ Chargers
-7 Spread 7
26 Team O/U 19
60.2 Plays/Gm 59.8
62.8 Opp. Plays/Gm 68.4
56.1% Rush % 40.0%
43.9% Pass % 60.0%
36.8% Opp. Rush % 40.0%
63.2% Opp Pass % 60.0%

 

  • Seattle has allowed 20 fantasy points to only two quarterbacks over their past 27 games and only three 300 yard passers over their past 30 games.
  • The last quarterback to throw multiple touchdowns against Seattle was Mike Glennon in week nine of 2013.
  • The Seahawks did allow five top 24 PPR backs in their eight road games in 2013.
  • Over his past nine games, Danny Woodhead averages only 3.1 receptions per game on 3.4 targets per game.
  • Over those same nine weeks, Ryan Mathews averages 2.3 receptions on 3.0 targets per game to go along with 16.9 PPR points per week.
  • Percy Harvin’s 41 rushing yards week one were the most he’s had in a game since week 4 of 2011 when he had 67.

Trust: Russell Wilson, Marshawn Lynch

Bust: The entire Chargers passing game

Reasonable Return: Ryan Mathews, Percy Harvin, Doug Baldwin

 

Rams @ Buccaneers
7 Spread -7
14 Team O/U 22
64.1 Plays/Gm 72.1
65.5 Opp. Plays/Gm 65.5
34.9% Rush % 30.9%
65.1% Pass % 69.1%
53.8% Opp. Rush % 48.5%
46.2% Opp Pass % 51.5%

 

  • In the four games that Zac Stacy has hit 100 yards in his career, he’s never had fewer than 26 carries in those games. That includes a 33 carry- 104 yard game versus Tampa Bay in week 15 of last season.
  • Tavon Austin now has failed to reach 50 receiving yards in 13 of his 14 games in the NFL.
  • Brian Quick’s seven receptions were the most he’s ever had in a game, besting his previous career high of three.
  • Vincent Jackson now has five or fewer receptions in 10 of his past 11 games and has been held under 75 yards in seven of his past 10 games.
  • Josh McCown threw two interceptions on 35 pass attempts last week. He threw one interception on 224 attempts in 2013.
  • The Rams have been held under 20 points in seven of their past 17 games while Tampa Bay has failed to score 20 points in ten of their past 17.

Trust: Both DST units

Bust: Zac Stacy, Doug Martin, Josh McCown, Brian Quick

Reasonable Return: Vincent Jackson, Mike Evans

 

Chiefs @ Broncos
13.5 Spread -13.5
20 Team O/U 31
70.4 Plays/Gm 62.5
69.7 Opp. Plays/Gm 69.2
30.4% Rush % 46.4%
69.6% Pass % 53.6%
50.7% Opp. Rush % 20.0%
49.3% Opp Pass % 80.0%

 

  • Last weekend was the seventh time in 33 games with Peyton Manning at quarterback that Thomas was held under 50 receiving yards. In the games after those weeks, Thomas has scored or posted 100 yards all six times.
  • Even better, Thomas has gone over 100 yards receiving in his past three games facing the Chiefs.
  • Peyton Manning now has thrown multiple touchdowns in 28 of his 33 games in Denver.
  • Montee Ball’s 83 yards from scrimmage last week would’ve been Knowshon Moreno’s 11th highest game in terms of yardage from scrimmage from last season.
  • The 11 touches for Jamaal Charles last week were the fewest he’s had in a game since week 7 of 2012 and over 10 below his average of 21.9 touches per game a season ago.
  • Alex Smith has run for 25 or more yards in 11 of his 16 games with the Chiefs.
  • Smith’s three interception game last week was only the third time he’s thrown multiple interceptions over the past four seasons.
  • The Broncos have allowed a tight end to score now in five of their past eight games.
  • Travis Kelce played just 19 snaps for the Chiefs, while Anthony Fasano was present on 53.

Trust: Peyton Manning, Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, Montee Ball

Bust: Dwayne Bowe

Reasonable Return: Julius Thomas, Jamaal Charles

 

Jets @ Packers
9.5 Spread -9.5
17.5 Team O/U 27.5
67.6 Plays/Gm 64.0
58.7 Opp. Plays/Gm 62.7
52.3% Rush % 36.8%
47.7% Pass % 63.2%
30.6% Opp. Rush % 56.1%
69.4% Opp Pass % 43.9%

 

  • Last week was only the third time Rodgers has failed to pass for 200 yards over his past 40 full games. After the previous two, he threw four touchdowns and then three.
  • The Jets are the NFL’s best rush defense, allowing 88.2 yards per game in 2013, and only 25 yards rushing in week one to Oakland. They have allowed only one 100-yard rusher over their past 19 games.
  • Only Steve Smith (15) had more targets in week one than Jordy Nelson (14) week one.
  • In his past nine full games with Rodgers, Nelson averages 9.3 targets, 6.4 receptions for 99.2 yards with seven total touchdowns and 17.8 fantasy points per game.
  • Geno Smith has five consecutive weeks with 35 or more rushing yards.
  • Smith also has 13 consecutive weeks with under 250 yards passing with only two multiple touchdown passing games over that stretch.
  • Green bay has allowed six straight quarterbacks to pass for two touchdowns or more.
  • The Packers have allowed a 100-yard rusher in four straight games, and over 120 total team rushing yards in nine of their past 11 games.
  • The Jets ran for 207 yards last week, the fifth consecutive week in which they have rushed for 140 yards as a team.

Trust: Aaron Rodgers, Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb

Bust: Eddie Lacy, James Starks

Reasonable Return: Geno Smith, Chris Johnson, Chris Ivory, Eric Decker, Jarrett Boykin

 

Texans @ Raiders
-2.5 Spread 2.5
21 Team O/U 17.5
61.8 Plays/Gm 68.9
68.1 Opp. Plays/Gm 61.4
58.9% Rush % 30.6%
41.1% Pass % 69.4%
36.5% Opp. Rush % 52.3%
63.5% Opp Pass % 47.7%

 

  • Houston was fifth in pressure rate in 2013, and first in week 1 this season, pressuring Robert Griffin on 53.7 percent of his drop backs per Pro Football Focus.
  • Derek Carr was pressured on 47.1 percent of his drop backs, the third most of any quarterback in week 1.
  • Arian Foster amassed 29 touches last week and has 20 or more touches in six of his past seven games played.
  • Oakland allowed 14 top 24 PPR weeks to running backs in 2013 and two to start this season.
  • Andre Johnson now has 82 games in his career with six or more receptions, fifth all time and only four behind Cris Carter.
  • DeAndre Hopkins’ 89 receiving yards were his highest total since week two of last season.
  • Rod Streater averages 11.9 PPR points per game over his past 12 games, which are mid WR3 range over the course of a season.
  • Maurice Jones-Drew and Darren McFadden each have only one 100-yard rushing game since the start of 2013, the same number as Marcel Reece.

Trust: Arian Foster, Andre Johnson

Bust: James Jones, Derek Carr

Reasonable Return: DeAndre Hopkins, Rod Streater, Ryan Fitzpatrick

 

Bears @ 49ers
7.5 Spread -7.5
21 Team O/U 27.5
64.8 Plays/Gm 64.8
61.6 Opp. Plays/Gm 65.1
26.1% Rush % 55.6%
73.9% Pass % 44.4%
58.9% Opp. Rush % 36.5%
41.1% Opp Pass % 63.5%

 

  • Forte is as safe as they come as a lead back, posting at least 90 total yards in 15 of his 17 games as well as four or more receptions in 14 of those games.
  • Under Marc Trestman, Forte averages 123.6 yards from scrimmage, 22.8 touches and 6.1 targets per week.
  • DeMarco Murray 143 yards from scrimmage last week were the most form any RB vs SF since Roy Helu notched 146 facing them in 2011.
  • In the 11 games in which he has played the majority of snaps under Trestman, Jay Cutler averages 17.0 fantasy points per game with a standard deviation of only 3.5 points.
  • In those 11 games, Brandon Marshall has reached double digit targets eight times and has 11 touchdowns to go along with averaging 20.5 PPR points per game.
  • Over those same 11 games, Alshon Jeffery has only three touchdowns.
  • Since Michael Crabtree returned week 13 of last season, Anquan Boldin averages 6.8 receptions, 9.3 targets, 92.3 yards and 18.3 points per game.
  • In those same six games, Colin Kaepernick averages 18.7 points per week with only one game less than 17 points scored.
  • Vernon Davis is one of only seven players to have 20 touchdown catches since the start of the 2012 season.

Trust: Matt Forte, Jay Cutler, Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffery, Colin Kaepernick, Anquan Boldin

Bust: Martellus Bennett, Carlos Hyde

Reasonable Return: Michael Crabtree, Vernon Davis

 

Eagles @ Colts
3 Spread -3
24.5 Team O/U 28
62.0 Plays/Gm 61.3
61.2 Opp. Plays/Gm 63.8
39.0% Rush % 20.0%
61.0% Pass % 80.0%
35.2% Opp. Rush % 46.4%
64.8% Opp Pass % 53.6%

 

  • Philadelphia ran 87 plays week one, allowing 76 while Indianapolis ran 76 offensive plays and allowed 77.
  • 11 of Darren Sproles’ 15 touches last week were carries, the first time since week seven of 2011 that Sproles had double digit rushing attempts in a game.
  • Zach Ertz received only nine percent of the targets last week, but he did play 62 percent of the snaps, a number he reached only twice in 2013.
  • Trent Richardson has failed to rush for 70 yards in 20 consecutive games.
  • Only Cam Newton (13) has more games with a rushing touchdown for a quarterback than the eight games Andrew Luck has done it since 2012.

Trust: Andrew Luck, T.Y. Hilton, LeSean McCoy, Nick Foles, Zach Ertz

Bust: Trent Richardson, Riley Cooper

Reasonable Return: Reggie Wayne, Dwayne Allen, Darren Sproles, Jeremy Maclin. Hakeem Nicks

 

*Statistics provided by ProFootballFocus, Pro-Football-Reference, NFLData.com. All Vegas Lines Provided by 5Dimes

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