Daily Fantasy Hockey DFS Value Update – March 4

David Krejci
David Krejci
Anne Marie Sorvin USA TODAY Sports

I will mention that I generally do not pick two players playing against each other in the same game for a daily fantasy hockey lineup. The same applies for a goalie and a player from opposite teams. You might see two players among the “value picks” from opposite teams, but that doesn’t mean you should take them both. No matter the value, you’re also likely cannibalizing points, so any gains made below a certain price point – the point where production and cost intersect – can be lost if production declines overall as well.

There are many things that determine value: The player’s history (both short and long-term), the price, recent production, opponent, line matching at even-strength, power play time and injuries are just some of the factors to consider. The “Top Value” doesn’t necessarily mean the cheapest player, either.

Finally, as far as goalies go, it’s the one position I’ll pay through the nose for if I really like the match-up. The same applies for back-ups with good match-ups. In a given night, with a full slate of games, I won’t have more than three different goalies across all my lineups, usually two. I’ll name the goalies I like specifically in the match-ups they appear in.

Here is today’s slate of games (and DraftStreet values). Reminder: check Left Wing Lock for up-to-the-minute information on starting goalies.

Games are color-coded as follows:

Green means stack for GPPs. Yellow means targets for cash games. Red means value plays only.

Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins

It’s been a pretty rough return to action for the Florida Panthers since the Olympic break. Even though they managed a win against the Islanders, they have allowed 14 goals against in three games and have given up six power play goals against. They were outshot by a total of 19 combined to the Capitals, Blue Jackets and Islanders, not necessarily a murderer’s row of opponents. They have managed to score 12 goals themselves, though, so it’s not like they are a complete DFS wasteland. It does present problems with plus/minus, though.

Boston gave up 12 goals of their own in their first three games back. They’ve also lost two of the three games they have played. For our purposes, Boston did score 12 goals in return in those three games so there are lots of opportunities for good DFS plays. There is nothing that changes in this lineup on a day-to-day basis so as always, so the value plays remain the same. It makes the Bruins tough to predict sometimes: All three of their top three lines and four of their defensemen can have big days in any given games. It’s a matter of picking the right ones.

These two teams have played three games this year and Boston has outscored the Panthers 13-5 in the meantime. In the two games they’ve played at the TD Garden, the Bruins have outscored the Panthers 10-3. In short, stream Bruins players at will against them. For the purposes of this game, I’ll lean to the David Krejci line because Krejci has eaten the Panthers alive all season long.

Top RW Value

Top LW Value

Top C Value

Top D Value

Bargain Bin

Reilly Smith
(BOS)
$7941

Milan Lucic
(BOS)
$10,664

David Krejci

(BOS)

$9689

Zdeno Chara

(BOS)
$8411

Jordan Caron
(BOS)

$2275

author avatar
Michael Clifford
Michael Clifford was born and raised in Fredericton, New Brunswick, Canada and is a graduate of the Unviersity of New Brunswick. He writes about fantasy hockey and baseball for XNSports and FantasyTrade411.com. He can be reached on Twitter @SlimCliffy for any fantasy hockey questions. !function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=/^http:/.test(d.location)?'http':'https';if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+'://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js';fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document, 'script', 'twitter-wjs');