On Tuesday, we released our early first base rankings. Today, we look at what we can realistically expect to receive from each of the top 35 first basemen in the fantasy baseball 2014 season.
For the most part, these are conservative projections. You won’t find huge breakout seasons or out-of-nowhere expectations. These projections are based on a full season as starter, and don’t account for injury risk or, in someone like Kendrys Morales‘ case, potentially not even being on a roster come Opening Day.
With that said, I have fairly high hopes for rookie Jose Abreu and second-year player Matt Adams. It’s not a stretch to expect the newly signed Cuban first baseman to hit 30 home runs in a full season after regularly putting up around 30 home runs in the Cuban league, in seasons half the length of an MLB year. Matt Adams showed a ton of promise last season and should continue to grow into a Big League powerhouse assuming he gets to start all season.
I also expect Albert Pujols, Mark Teixeira, and Corey Hart to rebound from their injury-riddled 2013 campaigns, though all three are likely to have their ups-and-downs.
With all that in mind, let’s take a look at the full 2014 first base projections. Be sure to check back next week for more infield rankings and projections.
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Player BA HR RBI R SB Paul Goldschmidt 300 30 110 95 14 Chris Davis 270 40 115 83 3 Joey Votto 305 25 82 95 4 Edwin Encarnacion 272 32 99 85 6 David Ortiz 305 25 95 82 0 Freddie Freeman 292 23 96 85 1 Prince Fielder 277 25 98 81 1 Albert Pujols 280 27 90 80 0 Adrian Gonzalez 290 21 100 72 1 Mark Trumbo 242 30 95 78 5 Allen Craig 310 16 90 80 1 Mark Teixeira 250 27 87 74 1 Jose Abreu 273 30 84 74 3 Matt Adams 282 24 76 67 0 Michael Cuddyer 285 20 75 69 2 Billy Butler 285 18 87 69 0 Mike Napoli 250 21 82 72 1 Anthony Rizzo 250 21 82 72 1 Daniel Murphy 284 11 70 78 13 Chris Carter 227 30 80 64 1 Carlos Santana 255 20 75 72 1 Nick Swisher 250 22 70 74 1 Brandon Moss 250 24 75 65 1 Joe Mauer 315 10 67 70 2 Kendrys Morales 270 22 76 62 0 Corey Hart 260 21 68 67 3 Victor Martinez 295 14 78 65 0 Eric Hosmer 285 15 78 75 11 Buster Posey 290 16 75 65 2 Brandon Belt 277 16 67 67 5 Jonathan Lucroy 280 17 72 55 5 Adam Lind 268 22 67 62 0 Ryan Howard 250 21 67 58 1 Justin Morneau 263 18 70 62 0 Chris Johnson 285 12 65 55 3
