If you had Carmelo Anthony in your DraftStreet lineup last night, you’re probably a few bucks richer this morning. Finding the potential big hit of the night, or finding good value plays that will allow us to afford a guy like Carmelo, is our goal here. Today, we have a full Saturday slate with eight games going tonight so we have plenty of options from which to pick.
In DraftStreet, you get $100,000 to make a team of eight players; three forwards, three guards, a center, and a utility player. The goal is to get around 300 fantasy points which means we’re looking to get about 3X value on a player. In other words, if a player costs $15,000, we’d like to get at least 45 FPS out of him. If we’re going to be able to spend let’s say $24,000 for Kevin Durant for some sure points, however, we’d have to find a lot of good value plays.
DraftStreet Scoring: PTS: 1 pt, REB: 1.25 pt, AST: 1.5 pt, TO: -1 pt, Missed FT: -0.5 pt, Missed FG: -0.5 pt, STL: 2 pt, BLK: 2pt
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Value Plays:
Guard:
Bradley Beal vs UTA ($11,093): Beal’s price tag is surprisingly low for a player who has eclipsed 33 FPS in two of his last three games. That’s right where we’d need him to be to make value today, a good bet against a Utah defense giving up the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards over the last two weeks.
Forward:
Carlos Boozer vs CHA ($11,557): Charlotte’s defense isn’t good. Just ask Carmelo Anthony. The Bobcats have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing power forwards over the last two weeks. After missing Wednesday’s game against the Cavs, Boozer bounced back strong against the Clippers last night with 30.25 FPS and has now surpassed 30 FPS in two of his last three games. We’d need him to get closer to 35 today to make value but I like his chances against the Cats.
Center:
Roy Hibbert vs DEN ($12,572): Hibbert has been hot, surpassing 32 FPS in two of his last three games. We’d need him to get around 37 FPS to make value tonight and he has a good chance to do just that against a Denver defense giving up the 11th most fantasy points to opposing centers over the last two weeks. What I like about the Hibbert play is there isn’t a lot of bust potential. He’s gotten at least 21 FPS in six of his last seven games so, even if he doesn’t make value, he’s not going to kill you.
Optimized Lineup:
G- Bradley Beal vs UTA ($11,093)
G- Reggie Jackson vs PHI ($13,616)
G- Wesley Matthews vs MIN ($11,552)
F- Carlos Boozer vs CHA ($11,557)
F- Serge Ibaka vs PHI ($14,926)
F- Gordon Hayward vs WAS ($14,640)
C- Roy Hibbert vs DEN ($12,572)
U- Randy Foye vs IND ($9,364)
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