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Daily Fantasy Football: FanDuel Roster Building Championship Weekend

We’ve finally reached the last stop in our degeneracy tour for the 2013 daily fantasy football season.

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SanFrancisco 49ers  @ Seattle Seahawks

49ers

$$

Seahawks

$$

Colin Kaepernick

$8,900

Russell Wilson

$8,200

Frank Gore

$7,300

Marshawn Lynch

$9,900

Anquan Boldin

$7,000

Percy Harvin

$5,600

Michael Crabtree

$6,800

Golden Tate

$5,300

Vernon Davis

$6,500

Doug Baldwin

$4,900

Zach Miller

$4,600

Luke Willson

$4,500

 

The NFC Championship features two inter division teams that have supplanted the Steelers versus the Ravens as the leagues’ hottest and most salty rivalry. San Francisco has been embarrassed in both of their past two trips to see the 12th Man, losing by a combined score of 71-16. The 49ers have turned the football over a league low 44 times since Jim Harbaugh took over as coach in 2011, but nine of those have come against the Seahawks in just their past four meetings.

Colin Kaepernick has accounted has accounted for seven of those nine turnovers in the three games he’s played versus Seattle (six on the road). Despite throwing only 14 interceptions through 28 career starts, five have come against the Seahawks. Seattle allowed the lowest amount of passing yardage (2,752 yards), second fewest amount of passing touchdowns (16) while leading the league in interceptions (28) as a team this season. As hot as he’s been from a fantasy standpoint (averaging 20.1 points per game over his past eight), you’re playing with fire by putting him in your lineup this week.

The same can be said for his counterpart in Wilson, who comes in as the lowest priced quarterback but is beyond ice cold at the moment. Over his past five games, Wilson has completed just 56.7 percent of his throws for an average of 157.6 yards per game to go with four touchdowns and three picks for 54.4 total points. In the two games facing the 49ers this season he’s a combined 23-44 (52.8 percent) for 341 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Leave both of these guys out of your lineups unless you’re hoping for rushing production.

Frank Gore comes in with expected volume and a decent price tag, just $500 more than Stevan Ridley. The Seattle run defense has been extremely Jekyll and Hyde throughout the season, surrendering 70 or fewer rushing yards in seven games but allowing 130 or more in another seven. Power running teams have had the most success this year and Gore should continue his string of strong playoff usage. In the past two postseasons he has carried 17 times or more in all five games and has scored in four of those.

Lynch is an insane 16.5 percent of your cap this week if you want to fit him in. The 49ers haven’t allowed a 100 yard rusher all season, but Lynch is somewhat of a Niner killer. Here are the top 12 rushing performances against the 49ers since this current regime took over.

Rk

Player

Date

Tm

Att

Yds

TD

1

Ahmad Bradshaw

10/14/2012

NYG

27

116

1

2

Marshawn Lynch

12/23/2012

SEA

26

111

1

3

Marshawn Lynch

12/24/2011

SEA

21

107

1

4

Marshawn Lynch

10/18/2012

SEA

19

103

0

5

Steven Jackson

11/11/2012

STL

29

101

1

6

Arian Foster

10/6/2013

HOU

21

98

0

7

Marshawn Lynch

9/15/2013

SEA

28

98

2

8

Ahmad Bradshaw

9/22/2013

IND

19

95

1

9

Adrian Peterson

9/23/2012

MIN

25

86

0

10

Steven Jackson

1/1/2012

STL

16

76

0

11

Maurice Jones-Drew

10/27/2013

JAX

19

75

0

12

Marshawn Lynch

12/8/2013

SEA

20

72

1

 

Lynch makes up five of the top 12, so Seattle has had success rushing against this current 49er defense. The issue is by how much Lynch can exceed that lofty price tag if he can in fact get to the 20 points it takes just to meet the value in it.

Boldin had six receptions for 93 yards in the last meeting and is still the odds on favorite to avoid Richard Sharman the most this weekend. Boldin ran 47.8 percent of his routes this season from the slot, where Sherman only trailed receivers for 27 snaps total. In the two games prior, Boldin ran 33 routes from the inside where Sherman only followed six times. That leaves Michael Crabtree to deal with him the most, but in the last meeting avoided Sherman entirely by rarely running a receiver on the right side of the formation.

Percy Harvin has yet to be cleared for this game, and hasn’t practiced yet this week. He was involved early last weekend, seeing four targets, but it’s hard to count on him this weekend. San Francisco defends the boundaries well in the back end, and it’s shown in the prior history with the Seahawks. Golden Tate has just 16 catches for 164 yards and zero touchdowns in six career games against the Niners, with only one game over three receptions.

Doug Baldwin has been a different story, catching 16 passes for 255 yards and four touchdowns over those same six games. If Harvin doesn’t go, he will be lined up with Carlos Rogers for the majority of the game, a player he’s given trouble over his career. Rogers hasn’t played in the past two games dealing with a hamstring injury, so there’s opportunity this week to make Baldwin your cheap receiving option since there are no real punt plays.

Davis is available for those who desire to go away from Julius Thomas this weekend, but hasn’t reached 50 receiving yards versus Seattle since 2010 and hasn’t topped 30 yards in any of the past four meetings. Luke Willson did score in the last meeting in San Francisco, so if you want to throw a real dart, he’s the upside punt play.

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