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DFS Fantasy Hockey Daily Value Update – December 17

Draft Day daily fantasy hockey value picks based on line combinations, injuries and roster moves with analysis of current trends for December 17, 2013.

Nicklas Backstrom
Nicklas Backstrom

Nov 29, 2013; Washington, DC, USA; Washington Capitals center Nicklas Backstrom (19) advances the puck as Montreal Canadiens center Tomas Plekanec (14) chases during overtime at the Verizon Center. The Capitals won 3-2 in an overtime shootout. Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

I will mention that I generally do not pick two players playing against each other in the same game for a daily fantasy hockey lineup. The same applies for a goalie and a player from opposite teams. You might see two players among the “value picks” from opposite teams, but that doesn’t mean you should take them both. No matter the value, you’re also likely cannibalizing points, so any gains made below a certain price point – the point where production and cost intersect – can be lost if production declines overall as well.

There are many things that determine value: The player’s history (both short and long-term), the price, recent production, opponent, line matching at even-strength, power play time and injuries are just some of the factors to consider. The “Top Value” doesn’t necessarily mean the cheapest player, either.

Finally, as far as goalies go, it’s the one position I’ll pay through the nose for if I really like the match-up. The same applies for back-ups with good match-ups. In a given night, with a full slate of games, I won’t have more than three different goalies across all my lineups, usually two. I’ll name the goalies I like specifically in the match-ups they appear in.

Here is today’s slate of games (and DraftDay values). Reminder: check Left Wing Lock for up-to-the-minute information on starting goalies.

Games are color-coded as follows:

Green means load up. Yellow means grab a couple of players. Red means value plays only.

Calgary Flames at Boston Bruins

Calgary’s inconsistent season continues.

After starting the season 4-2-2, the Flames went 2-9-1 in their next 12 games. Recently, however, the Flames have gone 7-4-2 in their last 13, including a 3-0-1 stretch in their last four road games.

It really has been a tale of two seasons so far: In Calgary’s first 20 games, they allowed 76 goals against or 3.6 goals against/game. Over their last 13 games, they have allowed 30 goals, or 2.31 goals against/game. It’s been a stretch that has seen a bit of luck and great goaltending come their way, but it gives you a good idea of the team that’s coming in to Boston tonight.

The Bruins haven’t lost at home in regulation since October, and despite the rash of injuries lately, the Bruins are 6-2 in their last eight games, including a 2-1 win against this Calgary team last week.

Calgary looked good in New York the other night, but this is Boston. I’m avoiding the Flames altogether and will be selective about the Bruins I take.

Top RW Value

Top LW Value

Top C Value

Top D Value

Bargain Bin

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