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Week 10 Fantasy Football Defensive Matchup Exploitation: RB

The most and least favorable fantasy football running back matchups in Week 10.

Mike James
Mike James

Aug 16, 2013; Foxborough, MA, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Mike James (25) carries the ball during the third quarter against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. The New England Patriots won 25-21. Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports

Last week we saw some outlier efforts as Alfred Morris and Darrel Young scorched the tough Chargers defense and Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller combined for a big effort against the typically stingy Chiefs D. The Ravens and Jets still shut down their opposing running backs and, more often than not, the better defense will prevail.

Before allowing the big running game to Washington, the Chargers had limited Arian Foster, Chris Johnson, DeMarco Murray, Maurice Jones-Drew, and all of Oakland’s running backs to 9.2 points or fewer. The Chiefs had shut down most of the same running backs as well.

This week, it’s Knowshon Moreno, Gio Bernard, Arian Foster (or Ben Tate, depending on Foster’s health), Ray Rice, Steven Jackson, Le’Veon Bell, and Rashad Jennings that have very tough matchups that are bound to limit their value.

Zac Stacy remains startable against the Colts who have given up big rushing games to Denver, San Diego, Seattle, San Francisco, Oakland, and Miami. LeSean McCoy is always startable, no matter the matchup though the Eagles have been running a lot less with Nick Foles at the helm. Frank Gore faces a Carolina defense that has been hit and miss. They have completely stopped guys like Steven Jackson, Adrian Peterson, and Marshawn Lynch in their tracks while giving up big rushing games to Buffalo, Arizona, and St. Louis. It’s not an optimal matchup. On the other hand, the Eagles haven’t seen many good running backs and Eddie Lacy leads the league in rushing over the last five weeks so he’s definitely startable.

The most favorable matchups belong to guys you were likely going to start anyway: Adrian Peterson, Chris Johnson, Alfred Morris, Reggie Bush, and Danny Woodhead. Mike James looks like a strong start against the Dolphins who have been giving up a ton of running back points. I don’t trust Trent Richardson but St. Louis just gave up nearly 250 yards and three touchdowns to Chris Johnson and Shonn Greene last week. Maurice Jones-Drew, despite a low fantasy ceiling, has had enough touches to remain a flex or bye week option in most leagues, especially against a Titans defense that has given up over 50 points to Zac Stacy and Frank Gore over the last two weeks. C.J. Spiller looks like a good option, if healthy, against a struggling Steelers defense and Pierre Thomas looks good against a Cowboys defense that has allowed 40 points to opposing running backs over the last two weeks.

Let’s take a look at all of the running back matchups in Week 10.

Browse Matchups by Position: QBRBWRTE

Highly Unfavorable, Unfavorable, Neutral, Slightly Favorable, Favorable

Rank
vs
RB

AVG
RB
FPS
Allowed

Defense

Week 10 Opponents

1

12.01 Chargers Knowshon Moreno, Montee Ball, C.J. Anderson

2

12.03 Ravens Gio Bernard, BenJarvus Green-Ellis

3

12.76 Chiefs BYE

4

12.89 Jets BYE

5

13.19 Cardinals Arian Foster (Q), Ben Tate, Dennis Johnson

6

13.61 Bengals Ray Rice

7

13.75 Seahawks Steven Jackson, Jacquizz Rodgers

8

13.9 Colts Zac Stacy, Daryl Richardson

9

14.33 Bills Le’Veon Bell

10

14.74 Packers LeSean McCoy

11

15.03 Panthers Frank Gore

12

15.53 Eagles Eddie Lacy, James Starks

13

15.55 Giants Rashad Jennings, Marcel Reese, Darren McFadden (Q)

14

15.83 Buccaneers Lamar Miller, Daniel Thomas

15

16.03 Raiders Andre Brown, Brandon Jacobs, Peyton Hillis

16

16.67 Falcons Marshawn Lynch

17

17.23 Lions Matt Forte

18

17.44 Saints DeMarco Murray

19

17.5 Texans Andre Ellington, Rashard Mendenhall

20

17.85 Patriots BYE

21

18.2 49ers DeAngelo Williams, Jonathan Stewart, Mike Tolbert

22

18.84 Broncos Danny Woodhead, Ryan Mathews

23

18.88 Browns BYE

24

18.88 Cowboys Pierre Thomas, Mark Ingram, Darren Sproles (Q)

25

19.56 Steelers C.J. Spiller, Fred Jackson

26

20.16 Titans Maurice Jones-Drew

27

20.2 Bears Reggie Bush, Joique Bell

28

20.4 Rams Trent Richardson, Donald Brown

29

22.34 Dolphins Mike James, Brian Leonard

30

23.89 Vikings Alfred Morris, Roy Helu Jr.

31

23.9 Jaguars Chris Johnson, Shonn Greene

32

23.97 Redskins Adrian Peterson

*Values based on Yahoo standard scoring.

Browse Matchups by Position: QBRBWRTE

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